A More Perfect Union?

In her column at the Washington Post Megan McArdle explains why she has hope for the United States:

So in honor of 247 years of American independence, let me lay out why I am still optimistic about our country’s future.

To people on the right, I would note that capital appears to be undergoing a Great Unwokening, and the hated deep state is the same bureaucracy that validated the Hunter Biden laptop suspicions and spent years investigating him. As for expert capture, yes, it is real. But over the long run, I’m more worried that political showboating will discredit experts who have true and important information to share, as happened with public health officials during the pandemic, than I am that some PhD will bullyrag parents into letting their kids identify as cats.

To the left, I would point out that the republic has survived many sudden reversals of Supreme Court precedent, as well as the discovery of all sorts of new rights, under the Warren and Burger courts. Disliking the results of judicial fiats is not the same as proving they are incompatible with a functioning democracy.

As for Trump, yes, he would, if he could, bulldoze every American institution that stands in his way — but note how conspicuously he has failed to do so. When he was president, American institutions were tested, but while they creaked a bit here and there, they ultimately held strong.

Will they continue to do so? Many on the left see Trump’s failings as the natural outgrowth of various troubling currents on the right and therefore fear he is a harbinger of even worse to come.

and here’s her conclusion:

Watch Americans dealing with one another day to day and you will mostly see them going out of their way to be nice. There are far more random acts of kindness in this country than there are drive-by shootings, and far more people acting with honesty and integrity, even when no one’s looking, than there are con men and thieves. We focus on the latter precisely because they are rare.

In a similar vein Charles Lipson expresses his reasons for hope in a piece at RealClearPolitics:

Our shared aspirations and common identity are our country’s best hope for the future. And our history should be a source of hope, as well as somber reflection.

Those ideals are not “our country, right or wrong.” They are not “our country with an airbrushed past.” Neither are they “our country as a relentless record of evil and oppression, at home and abroad.”

Rather, they are “our country as it strives to become better, to celebrate its accomplishments, to overcome its historical wrongs, to heal its lasting wounds and, ultimately, to achieve the ideals set before us in the Declaration of Independence and made concrete in our Constitution.” Whether our ancestors came over on the Mayflower, a slave ship, or a boat from Europe, escaping the Nazis, those are our shared ideals, but only if we embrace them.

What are those ideals? What are those accomplishments, incomplete as they still are? They are the promise that all men and women should be treated equally, allowed to speak freely and assemble peaceably, worship as they choose, permit others to worship, speak, and assemble as they choose, vote for whichever candidates they prefer, and live in safety, governed by laws made by the representatives they choose in fair elections. Those goals are grounded in tolerance and mutual forbearance, which are essential for a cohesive society where people come from different backgrounds and hold different beliefs.

I could fisk both of those pieces but rather than doing that I’ll try to explain why this time really is different.

First, both of our political parties are completely under the control of their most extreme third. The Trump wing really is controlling the Republican Party; the Bernie Sanders wing of the Democratic Party really is calling the tune there.

Second, neither of those factions is self-limiting. Progressivism by definition is not; there is always more “progress” to be made. What is being called “conservatism” these days is actually nothing of the sort. What are they trying to conserve? Quite to the contrary I think they are merely unhappy with the status quo and there’s no path to happiness that will satisfy them for the simple reason that it won’t work.

And the two factions really are at daggers drawn. No compromise is possible for either of them their goals are so widely separated.

Third, all of our institutions are either corrupted, debased, or weakened. Chesterton once said, accurately I think, that America is a country founded on a creed. What creed would that be now? For at least 10% of the population whatever you hold up as our common secular creed would be anathema.

And that’s all it takes. Communists were never more than 10% of the population of the Soviet Union; not more than 10% of Germans were Nazis.

Finally, even as recently as 50 years ago if you couldn’t stand the conditions in one part of the country, you could move to another part and escape it. Modern communications has made that practically impossible. You can shut yourself off in isolation but you can’t actually escape.

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What Happens?

Although I believe that Russia invading Ukraine was wrong and that we have been right in supporting the Ukrainians, I do wonder what happens to that support when the narrative that’s being pressed here in the U. S. collapses as it already shows signs of doing.

BTW I suspect that I am one of the few here who speaks with Ukrainians who are right in the area in which combat is taking place on a daily. We avoid speaking of the war.

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Rebels Without a Cause

I have been paying attention to the riots in France and to the occasional pieces in the media about them. Most are incomprehensible.

The language is a problem. “French” and “immigrant” have different meanings in France than they do in just about any other country of which I am aware. There are no hyphenated residents of France. If you profess Frenchness, you are French. If you don’t you are an immigrant. France doesn’t keep track of its citizens by race or origin.

In some ways that’s admirable. However, it does make solutions to the present unrest elusive.

At iNews Leo Cendrowicz remarks:

The rioting has also transformed the political discourse. The initial horror over the shooting of a teenager has now turned into a debate about law and order.

This is fertile territory for Ms Le Pen, who has long railed against what she sees as France’s drift into permissiveness and lawlessness. She lambasted the government on Twitter on Sunday as “a power that abandons all constitutional principles for fear of riots, which contributes to aggravating them”, adding, “Our country is getting worse and worse and the French are paying the terrible price for this cowardice and these compromises.”

She did not directly address the shooting but condemned the National Assembly for holding a minute’s silence for Nahel last week, saying, “Unfortunately, there are young people in our country every week…It’s terrible, but I think that the National Assembly should perhaps measure a little the minutes of silence that are carried out.”

And in a video address yesterday she lambasted the “anarchy”, called on authorities to declare a state of emergence or curfew, and attacked Mr Mélenchon for “conniving” and “morally exempting these criminal acts”, promising that they would face a reckoning with “the nation and history”.

to which I would point out that “left” and “right” are different in France, too.

It should be observed that French opinion to the statements of various French politicians is most favorable to Marine Le Pen and least favorable to Jean-Luc Mélenchon, effectively the spokesman for the “left-wing opposition”.

I try to avoid offering opinions on the political turmoil in countries other than my own but I do regret the violence and destruction in France. It mostly hurts the poor people of the suburbs (“suburbs” means something different, too) and it is without clear objectives. A cri de coeur rather than a call to arms.

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It Isn’t the Only Law

When I read Frank Miele’s remarks at RealClearPolitics on the Supreme Court’s rejection of the “independent state legislature” theory:

The mainstream media (and of course their Democratic Party allies) celebrated the court’s decision in Moore v. Harper that rejected the so-called “independent state legislature” theory. The New York Times called the theory “dangerous.” Vox said the ruling was a “big victory for democracy.” Those who supported the independent state legislature “theory” were called extreme, fringe, radical, and worse. In other words, they were Trump supporters.

The only problem is that if the theory is extreme, then so is the U.S. Constitution, because no matter how much the 6-3 majority insists otherwise, it isn’t a theory at all. It is the plain language of the Constitution. Check it out for yourself.

Article 1, Section 4 of the Constitution says specifically, “The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the Places of chusing Senators.”

It is not the governor or the courts or even the people of the state which set election rules, according to the Constitution, but the legislatures. Mind you, the state legislatures are not entirely unchecked in their decision making, but it is the Congress of the United States that provides the checks and balances, not the courts.

And as for presidential elections, the matter is even more cut and dried. Article 2, Section 1, declares, “Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors, equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress.”

Notice again that the Constitution gives state legislatures the exclusive power to determine the manner in which electors are appointed to vote for president and vice president. In this case, even Congress does not have the authority to override the legislatures.

I was reminded of my dad’s complaints about lawyers whose only knowledge of the law was the U. S. Constitution.

I think that the court’s decision was completely predictable and not on the basis of left/right ideology but based on the court’s longstanding claim of the authority of legal review. That’s something else you won’t find in the Constitution. You will search in vain for that in the Constitution but it has been a persistent part of our system since Marbury v. Madison as I assume Mr. Miele learned in his grade school civics class. It will not go away peacefully.

As I read the SCOTUS opinions that’s what they were upholding. The Constitution contains important law but it isn’t the only law. There’s the common law, state laws, and the power of courts to review state and federal laws. The Constitution does not empower state legislators to ignore state law or state or federal courts.

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Windows Mystery

Yesterday we lost power for about four hours. I’m keeping track of the number of times we lose power this summer. If it goes over a certain number, I plan to get a generator.

When the electricity came back on, I restarted our network and noticed something puzzling. My main PC, the fastest, most power one I have and the one I usually use for writing my posts, on rebooting successfully updated Windows for the first time in six months. I had tried every trick in the book to get it to update but no luck. And today it just updated on its own.

I can only speculate that Microsoft finally got around to fixing a problem that had prevented some small number of users including me from updating.

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Belated Canada Day


Jack was born in Canada and on Canada Day (July 1) as a good Canuck he put on his patriotic harness in recognition of the anniversary of Canada’s constitution.

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Here Comes the Rain Again

It has rained much of the day today. It’s just ending now.

That pretty much eliminated NASCAR street racing in the Loop today. There’s talk it will be postponed until tomorrow. Our street was flooded briefly from curb to curb.

On the bright side we needed the rain desperately. We’re in drought conditions. Even if we received several inches of rain I doubt that the drought is over technically but it certainly helps.

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The Event of the Weekend

There’s also some hubbub about this weekend’s notable activity here in Chicago: NASCAR street racing.

I honestly don’t know what the consternation is about. As far as I can tell it will turn out like pretty much any other weekend except that the racing will take place during the day and fewer of the drivers will be shooting at each other.

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The Supreme Court’s Decision

There are quite a few bitter recriminations going on about the Supreme Court’s striking down of racial quotas by institutions of higher education. It raises a host of questions:

  • Do you think it is alright to discriminate against Americans of Asian descent?
  • How about racial discrimination more generally?
  • Whatever happened to “critical mass”? IIRC that was the basis for SCOTUS’s prior judgment. It seems to have been cast into the dustbin of history not just by conservatives but by progressives as well.

What I wish were being commented on is the light this casts on our whole educational system.

Unlike some I don’t believe that Asians are genetically superior or that blacks are genetically inferior. Similarly, I don’t think that 70% of NBA players are black because of some genetic predisposition towards basketball. I think black athletes try harder and there is cultural support for that within their communities. Contrariwise, I think there is a pathology in black communities which places barriers to academic success.

In addition I would indict our entire education from top to bottom. Our public schools have lost site of their putative mission and are primarily run for the benefit of teachers, administrators, and union organizers. I wouldn’t let institutions of higher learning off the hook, either. If they actually cared about recruiting more blacks and Hispanics, they might have created feeder systems in “disadvantaged” neighborhoods to prepare K-12 students for college. They didn’t do that. IMO they were more interested in appearing to be concerned than in actually taking action.

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Bidenomics in One Lesson


Yesterday President Biden was in Chicago touting the virtues of his economy policy. He has embraced the neologism “Bidenomics” in describing it. The editors of the Wall Street Journal, predictably, are unimpressed:

In 1982-84 dollars, which takes account of inflation, average hourly earnings were $11.39 when Mr. Biden took office but started to decline immediately and didn’t stop falling until inflation peaked in June 2022. They have bounced up a little but were still back only to $11.03 in May. That’s a 3.16% decline in real earnings for the average worker across the 29 months of the Biden Presidency.

These are official Labor Department statistics. Mr. Biden can’t deny them, so he had someone fudge the point by writing in his Chicago remarks that, “Look, pay for low-wage workers has grown at the fastest pace in over two decades.” We’d like to see how his economists cherry-picked the data to justify that one.

All of which reminds us of the old Marx Brothers joke: Who are you going to believe, me or your own eyes? Regarding Bidenomics, Americans should believe their own eyes.

Much of what has happened over the last several years was predicted by Keynesian economics. When you increase aggregate demand by sending out checks, for example, beyond aggregate supply, you would expect it to result in inflation. The sad fact is that we do not produce enough of what we supply. There is no longer any surplus supply.

Clearly, Bidenomics isn’t Keynesian economics. It also isn’t Modern Monetary Theory which would have predicted the same thing. It’s old fashioned pork barrel politics. I will leave it as an exercise for the interested student to figure out where the pork is going. It isn’t to aid the poor. You can’t help the poor by giving them a check for $5 while increasing the prices of the things they spend money on by $10.

The central planning component of Bidenomics comes with fine print. In the short term it is hypothetically possible for central planning to increase production. It is more likely and certain in the long term to produce deadweight loss.

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