About Those Drones

Can someone explain how the large drones, described in this story at ABC News, are not the work of some foreign government?

Some of the drones are apparently quite large, the size of a car or larger. Those drones cost upwards of $300,000.

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Wray’s Notice

There’s quite a bit of whinging about FBI Director Christopher Wray’s giving notice that he will resign his post at the end of President Biden’s term. Wasn’t that inevitable after Sen. Chuck Grassley’s letter?

To save you the trouble of reading it, in the letter Sen. Grassley makes a prima facie case that Director Wray has been nonfeasant, misfeasant, malfeasant or all of the above.

You may disagree. You may think that Kash Patel is unfit to rectify the situation at the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Maybe the Bureau is unmanageable at this point. But it’s pretty clear that something is very, very wrong with the FBI.

As I’ve said before I think the Bureau is redundant at this point. When the FBI was founded more than a century ago the federal government didn’t have dozens of armed agencies with police powers as is the case now. I don’t know that there’s a better illustration of the need for a major reorganization of the federal government than that. The left hand doesn’t know what the right hand is doing.

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The Rising Costs


The graph above was produced by economist Mark Perry. What about healthcare insurance costs? (That was my immediate question.) Fortunately, Statista has that for me.

As you can see individual healthcare insurance prices have more than trebled since 2020. Not just fast but faster than hospital costs or medical service costs. Both of the latter have increased faster than wages in general.

Some are concluding from the above that the Affordable Care Act has failed in slowing the increase in healthcare costs and while that’s certainly the case it wasn’t my conclusion. My conclusion is, I have said many times, that the incentives in healthcare are completely out of whack. A change to single payer is not merely unaffordable and unsustainable in the absence of the will to constrain costs which is demonstrably absent, insurance isn’t the primary problem.

Please, please don’t tell me that other countries do it so it must be possible, particularly not if you’re pointing to tiny countries with high social cohesion. We are starting from too high a baseline. Pointing to insurance is misdirection. It’s the prices, stupid.

As I’ve also said before, I have all sorts of proposals for fixing the situation but everybody hates them so they’re not worth repeating.

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Birthright Citizenship

IMO abolition or reform of birthright citizenship should be wayyy down on the priority list of changes to immigration. Just off the top of my head my priorities would be:

  • Expel security risks and prevent them from returning
  • Expel public safety risks and prevent them from returning, i.e. known felons
  • Reduce the number of asylum applications accepted on an annual basis to the number we can actually process
  • Require that asylum applications be made before entering the United States
  • Expand the number of work visas issued, particularly for people living in Mexico
  • Make it at least as difficult to work without authorization (citizenship, green card, or other) in the United States as it is in Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, countries with which we have much in common

That would be a start.

That’s not to say that I think that birthright citizenship is a complete non-issue. I think its urgency as an issue would be greatly diminished of the reforms above were adopted. I suspect the reason it has been brought up at all is the inevitable appeals to emotion on behalf of the first two categories I’ve listed above.

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Where to Cut

Speaking of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), California Rep. Ro Khanna has an idea of where he’d like them to start:

I want the U.S. to have the greatest military in the world and the resources to counter increasingly sophisticated threats from our adversaries, but we need a more sensible approach. That is why I have been the only member on the House Armed Services Committee to vote against the bloated defense budget.

And that is why I look forward to working with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to reduce waste and fraud at the Pentagon, while strongly opposing any cuts to programs like Social Security, Medicare, the Department of Veterans Affairs or the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. There are several areas of waste and abuse that I hope DOGE will address.

As a starter, consolidation in the defense industry has allowed companies to drive up prices. When I was a freshman member of Congress, I led an investigation on the House Oversight Committee into the defense contractor TransDigm, which through mergers had acquired exclusive rights to sole-source aircraft parts. A report from the Defense Department’s inspector general revealed the company had exploited the American people by overcharging over 4,000 percent on those sole-source parts. In the end, TransDigm returned $16.1 million to the Pentagon. Equally outrageous, a “60 Minutes” report found that the price of stinger missiles has increased from $25,000 in 1991 to $480,000 today. One reason is that Raytheon became the sole supplier and can drive up costs.

He goes on to single out the F-35, oppose sole source contracts, oppose cost-plus contracts, support divesting excessive military property, thereby reducing maintenance costs, and canceling projects the DoD no longer wants. Here’s a reform that hasn’t been on my radar:

One ingredient for effective price monitoring is better communication across the federal government to ensure the Pentagon isn’t paying more than any other department. The Defense Health Agency overpaid by $16.2 million for electric breast pumps, spending as much as $1,400 for pumps that are $192 in stores. The department’s acquisition processes lacks sufficient controls for defense contractors who can get away with overcharging the government. We have a phenomenal workforce, but they must be paired with state-of-the-art systems and policies to ensure contracts only go to qualified contractors with reasonable prices.

My own pet reform to our defense spending is that I believe that we need to reduce the number of flag officers substantially. That will do a lot more than the obvious saving in costs. Nearly every flag officer has a pet project he or she carries with her or him throughout their career and frequently even beyond. Reducing the number of flag officers will organically result in substantial cost savings.

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The WSJ Editorial Stance

This is just an observation. Those who view the editors of the Wall Street Journal as simply pro-Republican and Trump supporters might want to look at today’s WSJ opinion page. The lead editorial is one opposing the appointment of Tulsi Gabbard as director of national intelligence. There is also a featured op-ed opposing the appointment of Kash Patel as director of the FBI. Other editorials, columns, and op-eds include one in support of maintaining birthright citizenship, a somewhat oblique defense of continuing to provide support for Ukraine’s war against Russia, and an op-ed urging the incoming Trump Administration to save Reagan’s National Endowment for Democracy from DOGE.

I think the WSJ’s editorial stance is more complicated than party affiliation. I think they’re pro-business, pro-stock prices, and anti-tax. If that’s pro-Republican, then they are pro-Republican but I think that’s painting with too broad a brush.

I think they are Hamiltonians, viewing the world completely through a business and economic prism.

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Cautiously Optimistic

Reuters reports that the merger of Kroger and Albertsons has been blocked at least temporarily:

Dec 10 (Reuters) – A U.S. judge blocked the pending $25-billion merger of U.S. grocery chains Kroger KR.N and Albertsons (ACI.N), opens new tab on Tuesday, a win for the Federal Trade Commission that Kroger has said would likely scuttle the deal.

The FTC argued at a three-week trial in Portland, Oregon, that the merger would eliminate head-to-head competition between the top two traditional grocery chains, leading to higher prices for shoppers and reduced bargaining leverage for unionized workers.

The ruling, which could be appealed, is a big victory for FTC Chair Lina Khan and the Biden administration in their bid to counter inflation at the checkout. Americans’ discontent over a lingering rise in grocery prices since the pandemic was a key theme in the run-up to President-elect Donald Trump’s win in November.

U.S. District Judge Adrienne Nelson agreed in the ruling that the merger was likely to remove direct competition between the two grocers, which would make it unlawful.

I’m suspicious of such mega-mergers generally. In this particular case I suspect the primary beneficiaries would be a handful of stockholders.

Personally, it may mean that our Mariano’s store will remain open for a while. If the merger went through it was slated to close.

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WaPo’s Reaction to Syria

The editors of the Washington Post open their reaction to Assad’s ouster by telling the truth:

To Mr. Assad we say: Good riddance. The speed of his downfall is testament to the illegitimacy of his awful rule, marked by mass executions, torture and support for terrorism. During the past 13-plus years of civil war, the regime depended on Russia, which carried out devastating airstrikes, Iran and its Lebanese proxy group, Hezbollah. But Russia had withdrawn troops for its war with Ukraine, Hezbollah has been decimated by its war with Israel, and Iran, also weakened by clashes with Israel, wrote off Mr. Assad.

For Syrians, the nightmare of Mr. Assad’s misrule is finally over. But euphoria over his ouster must be tempered by questions over what comes next.

It might be tempting to assume that anything is better than Mr. Assad. That would be a mistake. Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, or HTS, the main rebel group behind the current offensive, is an al-Qaeda offshoot that once had links to the Islamic State. Deemed a terrorist organization by the United States, HTS is led by Ahmed al-Sharaa, also known as Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, who fought U.S. troops in Iraq. Mr. Jolani has lately been trying to project a more moderate image and convince Syrians that all ethnic groups would be welcome in the post-Assad Syria. In the Idlib region of northwestern Syria, which it controls, HTS has provided protections for women and religious minorities but has also been accused of human rights abuses and authoritarian rule.

They also ask some of the right questions. Will the post-Assad Syria be pluralistic? Will there be retribution against old regime officials or the military?

As to their assertion that Syria is in the U. S. interest, it’s in the U. S. interest because we’ve been aiding our own enemies. They’ve already explained why that’s unlikely to turn out well. Let’s hope for the best but be prepared for the worst.

I also note that the word “Alawite” does not appear once in the editorial. Here’s their conclusion:

The Middle East badly needs a success story: a pluralistic, democratic Arab country committed to upholding human rights. For more than 50 years, Syria under the Assad family regime epitomized so much that is wrong about the region. With engaged diplomacy, the United States can help write a brighter next chapter for this strategically located, and long-suffering, country.

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Christmas Past

As I type this we have the 1938 movie A Christmas Carol, being shown on TCM, on as background noise. I smiled when I observed June Lockhart as Belinda Cratchit in the cast with her father, Gene, and her mother, Kathleen. That must have been an experience for her.

She’s still alive. She’s 99 years old and remarkably little changed since 1938. She’s apparently reasonably vigorous and remains in touch with the many who’ve played her children over the years including Billy Mumy, Angela Cartwright, Marta Kristen (Lost in Space) and Jon Provost (Lassie).

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Who’s In Charge?

All I can say about John Kass’s latest piece is that he really detests Barack Obama, doesn’t he? You can get what you need to know from its title: “To Move Forward, Democrats Must Oust Obama”.

I don’t believe that President Obama is running the Democratic Party. He reminds me more of Hamilton’s warning in Federalist 72:

Would it promote the peace of the community, or the stability of the government to have half a dozen men who had had credit enough to be raised to the seat of the supreme magistracy, wandering among the people like discontented ghosts, and sighing for a place which they were destined never more to possess?

I don’t know who’s actually running the Democratic Party at this point. Maybe nobody. Maybe it’s like feudal Japan where those actually in charge maintained such a low profile that nobody knew who they were.

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