Tangle’s Take

I want to commend Isaac Saul’s take on President Biden’s ending his re-election campaign at the Tangle newsletter to your attention. To read the whole thing you need to register to receive the newsletter. Here’s a paraphrase of his bullet points:

  • Biden did the right thing.
  • We’re getting to watch political talking points being formulated in realtime.
  • For the first time in years we’re seeing Democrats trying to attract voters rather than drive them away.
  • Their present direction appears to split the difference between the least democratic response they might have made and the most democratic response they might have made.
  • We’re in uncharted water.
  • The president should have withdrawn earlier.
  • He supports an open convention.
  • Nancy Pelosi continues to be the most influential Democrat.
  • Asking how President Biden is fit to serve but not fit to run is a fair question.
  • The Silicon Valley tech-bro elites are becoming more obnoxious by the day.
  • When he polled his friends and family about it the main reaction of Democrats was relief.
  • The main reaction of Republicans was, basically, it doesn’t matter.
  • When he posed the same question on X the main reaction was that VP Harris couldn’t win.
  • She’s not a great politician.
  • The significant amount of money raised from small contributions over the last 48 hours suggests substantial grassroots support.
  • President Biden has been a drag on the Democratic Party for the last several months.
  • Trump is now the oldest major party presidential candidate in U. S. history. The track record of old Republicans running against younger Democrats favors the Democrats.
  • He thought that a Biden vs. Trump contest probably favored Trump. Harris vs. Trump may be about even.
  • What will Biden do for the next several months?
  • This will be the first Presidential election since 1976 to not have a Biden, Bush, or Clinton on the ticket.
  • Trump would probably have preferred for Biden to remain in the race.
  • Does this demonstrate that presidential debate do matter?
  • Note that President Biden took this action without our hearing directly from him.
  • This has been a pretty eventful couple of months

Those aren’t my observations—they’re Isaac’s. My only observation is that replacing President Biden with VP Harris on the ticket is the Democrats’ only play. Black women are the Democrats’ most reliable voting bloc. How would the Democrats explain passing over a black woman in favor of, say, a white man?

To that I would like to add former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich’s comment:

I’ve known Obama since 1995. We both come out of Chicago politics. I know how it works. He’s behind the campaign to dump 15 million Dem primary voters & replace Biden with his choice. Classic Chicago Democrat machine politics. Selection over election. The bosses over the people.

In other words there are people other than Republicans who will see it that way.

9 comments… add one
  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    “The track record of old Republicans running against younger Democrats favors the Democrats”

    Is that really true. I recall Ronald Reagan was 69 in 1980, vs Jimmy Carter at 56. Or Ronald Reagan at 73 in 1984, vs Walter Mondale at 56. Or George Bush at 64 in 1988 vs Dukakis at 55 in 1988. Or even further back, Eisenhower was 62 in 1952, vs Stevenson at 52.

    To be fair, evidence for the assertion is Clinton beating Bush, Dole; Obama beating McCain, Romney; Carter beating Ford.

    But I don’t see the observation has real power if one considers Republican nominees are generally older then Democratic nominees in post WWII era and both parties have won about the same number of Presidential elections. What you would conclude is Democrats winners tend to be younger. But you would also conclude Democratic losers tend to be younger too….

  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    “Note that President Biden took this action without our hearing directly from him”

    I suspect this is partially due to Biden having or recovering from COVID. Having another appearance where he looked ill or extremely fragile would spark bipartisan calls to invoke the 25th amendment. It couldn’t wait until Biden recovered with the DNC coming up.

  • bob sykes Link

    Did Biden actually compose and sign the withdrawal letter? Is he aware of it?

    Is Biden alive? Is he incapacitated? Are we having a Wilson moment?

    Did he compose the later message supporting Harris?

    Will the Democrats have an open convention, or will the Ruling Caste simply appoint someone? Maybe Clinton, not Harris?

    Or have all the color revolutions come home to roost?

  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    They say Biden has COVID; they didn’t mention if he has long COVID.

    Through I saw Harris’s campaign staffers face when Biden called in to say “I’m not going anywhere”, that phrase could be taken in so many ways… How likely in a couple of days Democrats will be thinking “Lock him (Biden) up (in a nursing home)!”

  • Grey Shambler Link

    I always considered Clinton’s win over HW Bush an outlier due to Perot’s candidacy.

  • Grey Shambler Link

    @Bob Sykes!
    These are the good guys saving Democracy from the reincarnation of Adolf Hitler himself!
    Mercy!

  • Grey Shambler Link

    This guy is picking the next president and calling the shots because he signs the checks.
    https://deadline.com/2024/07/reed-hastings-harris-biden-2024-election-1236019546/

  • steve Link

    OT- Trump is now saying all federal monies will be withheld for schools that require any vaccinations. Not just covid but any kind of vaccinations. States are already passing laws doing away with vaccinations for stuff like measles and trying to pass laws doing away with all childhood vaccines. Any thoughts?

    Steve

  • Grey Shambler Link

    Sounds like Alex Jones still has his ear.

Leave a Comment