At Foreign Policy Esther Tetruashvily lays out the prospective ways she thinks the Russian-Ukraine war might end. They are:
- Stalemate: A lose-lose situation
- Checkmate: Putin achieves his objectives
- Forced-mate: Revolution in Russia
which to my eye appears to be in roughly descending order of likelihood although with the amount of propaganda and disinformation flying around it’s difficult to understand just what’s going on.
Note that none of those outcomes is actually favorable to the U. S. or Ukraine for that matter. Look around and you’ll see what I mean. Regime-change in Russia is more likely to mean a regime even less friendly to the United States that the present one.
