Rahm’s Predicament

In thinking about the predicament in which Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel has put himself in, there are a few things you should keep in mind. Rahm Emanuel is a Democratic Party rainmaker who, in recognition of his fundraising ability and loyalty, has ascended through a series of sinecures, finally settling on mayor of Chicago. He has no constituency here. Most of the money that funded his election and re-election campaigns was from outside Chicago.

During his tenure as mayor he has alienated practically everybody (particularly the Chicago Teachers’ Union), was the proximate cause of the first teachers’ strike in 25 years, and presided over an unprecedented decline in the city’s credit rating. It is now basically at junk status. The teachers are preparing for a second strike.

Chicago has the highest sales tax of any major city in the country. Mayor Emanuel has raised fees and property taxes more than any previous mayor.

Now on to John Kass’s remarks:

Rahm Emanuel has lost the city and he can’t get it back.

The stresses and fault lines have been growing for decades through the oafish and terrible management of Richard M. Daley. But Daley had his royal behind smooched for decades before he was unmasked with his parking meter deal.

Rahm was barely into his second term when he was unmasked. His special moment came with the video. And his miscalculation in suppressing the video has released something in Chicago.

Call it rebellion, or pent-up resentment based on legitimate grievances. Whatever you call it, he’s weak now.

After decades of hibernation under Daley, black political Chicago has begun to reassert itself. Young African-American leaders push for recognition. Black politics isn’t the Rev. Jesse Jackson’s show any longer.

One of the casualties of the old order appears to be Cook County State’s Attorney Anita Alvarez. Rahm’s buddy, David Axelrod, publicly criticized her for not charging Van Dyke with murder sooner, just as black activists were calling for her political head.

Now black politicians who supported Emanuel and said nothing about how he sat on the video are busy directing African-American animosity Alvarez’s way. Many of them won’t say Emanuel should resign, they’re still worried he’ll bite. But Alvarez? They want her out.

Alvarez was left without a chair when the music stopped. And now she’s their offering.

[…]

Meanwhile, the city, and its needy mayor, faces insurmountable fiscal challenges, from pension debts to the Chicago Teachers Union expected to authorize its leaders to call a strike. The teachers and their partners in the hard left have waited for this moment. They’ve despised Rahm for years, and now they are in full cry.

But theirs is a war cry, unrepentant, eager, full of anticipation, nothing like those sad, pitiful whimpers offered by the Emanuel who promised he’d change.

The list of things that need to happen in Chicago is long, so long as to defy credulity. There is pretty obviously a criminal conspiracy going on in the Chicago Police Department. Only Laquan McDonald’s shooter has been indicted to date. The reports filed by the other officers on the scene are simply not credible. That their supervisors in the police force should not have recognized that is simply not credible. That there has not been a cover-up that reached at least to the mayor’s office if not to the mayor himself is simply not credible.

The city needs to produce the money to pay its bills, to pay the pensions of its retired public employees, and to meet the new wage and benefit demands of its present employees.

I honestly don’t know what Chicago’s teachers want or what’s driving them to strike other than their detestation of Rahm Emanuel. Whatever it is, the city can’t produce it. It’s tapped out.

I remember the first Mayor Daley’s tenure in office vividly. I remember the furor surrounding Michael Bilandic’s handling of the blizzard of ’79. I remember Jane Byrne and Harold Washington and the “council wars” and Ritchie Daley and all of the times in between. I do not recall any time in which there was the profound lassitude and despair that I see now.

7 comments… add one
  • ... Link

    …and presided over an unprecedented decline in the city’s credit rating.

    Admittedly he did nothing to fix it (I doubt he could), but that isn’t really his fault, is it?

    Overall, it sounds like promises were made over decades that could not be met in perpetuity. Unpayable bills are coming due now. (Hmm, this sounds familiar.) Rahm was just too stupid to realize that he was going to get stuck holding nothing but his pecker after he got elected. Makes me think that for all his vaunted intelligence he’s actually only got an IQ of about 75.

  • but that isn’t really his fault, is it?

    When your strategy for handling the city’s finances are to put things on the credit card, I think it is. He should have borrowed more earlier when terms were more favorable.

    Makes me think that for all his vaunted intelligence he’s actually only got an IQ of about 75.

    Partisanship makes you stupid.

  • jan Link

    Chicago has been run by democratic ideology for over 8 decades. What has this party ever done for the city? Rahm may have accelerated the decline. But, it was already endemic when he arrived.

  • What has this party ever done for the city?

    For about half that period (1960-2000) Chicago was known as “the city that works”. It didn’t experience the decay that many large American cities did. That included New York which reached its nadir under a Republican mayor. You can argue over whether it was an illusion or a coincidence but it sure looked as though it worked for quite a while.

  • Guarneri Link

    Jan

    From my perspective it’s complicated, and much predates me. However, the cops have been thugs forever. Finances were set on an unsustainable path decades ago. But as Dave points out many of the public services worked as best as could be expected for quite awhile, and if you “voted right,” among other things (ahem), the little annoyances got taken care of.

    Dave is usually more even handed than I am, and I can’t stand Rahm, but I’m not sure better interest rates or amortization terms on debt financing would solve the financial debacle. It’s the culmination of decades of financial largesse. And let there be no doubt, it’s a debacle. In a private setting it would be viewed as a latent bankruptcy.

  • Tom Lindmark Link

    I lived in Chicago for 5 years and still count it as one of my favorite domiciles, so it’s painful to watch this downward spiral even from afar. Assuming Rahm and the party can’t survive this one, what will replace them. It’s hard to imagine a smooth transition, even harder to postulate a resurgence even with regime change.

    I’ve said it before, but let me again urge you to keep on reporting the events. It’s definitely not getting the attention it deserves in the MSM give the national implications.

  • jan Link

    I think problems oftentimes are asymptomatic until containment and obfuscation is no longer possible. This is applicable to a variety of things — from a neglected, overindulged body, to an overstretched, abusively run city. So, while Chicago may have appeared to be “working,” with no signs of decay, the internals of city government were not taking into account the bigger picture — how their unsustainable fiscal policies would impact the city in the future.

    I have the same line of thinking as was expressed by Drew’s post, just below your’s Dave’s, in his statement that ” It’s the culmination of decades of financial largesse.” Another way of saying it is in Rev. Wright’s jargon —> “The chickens coming home to roost.”

    Furthermore, where I live in CA, I think what may appear golden under Jerry Brown may eventually explode under another governor, and blamed on him/her, no matter what party they may be elected under, as we have similar simmering debt looming beneath the surface of what now looks sweet.

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