Does the Pentagon Understand Risk Properly?

You might want to read Neils Abderhalden’s analysis of the Pentagon’s approach to risk at RealClearDefense. Here’s a concise summary:

In 2016, just as the U.S. military was pivoting towards strategic competition, the DoD released its first manual on risk. This attempt at codifying risk analysis is as wrong as it is comfortably conventional. In measuring risk to force and risk to mission, this risk assessment methodology subverts the very strategies it is presumed to support. It nascently considers the risks to one’s immediate forces relative to a mission only considered in isolation with scant regard for the future operating environment. This understanding of risk is hindering decision making and will, over time, contribute to strategic failure. That is, unless the U.S. military changes now.

Read the whole thing.

2 comments… add one
  • bob sykes Link

    A bigger problem is the six West Point cadets who ODed on cocaine/fentanyl. They are the future leaders of the Army. And they are not alone. The whole honor system of the military academies collapsed years ago, which is why we have Milley and Austin on top. Nowadays wokism trumps everything.

    Our military is corrupt in every way, money and sex, incompetent in even basic duties, and disloyal to anyone but themselves.

  • steve Link

    So true. No one ever used cocaine before wokism. When I served no one did drugs and sex was only among married people, once a week, missionary style. Those were the days.

    Steve

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