Ruy Teixeira examines the recent polling data:
Among Hispanics under 35, Harris only leads Trump by 10 points, a 34-point drop from their 2020 merged data.
and
Among Latino men under 50, Trump actually leads Harris by 9 points. Trump also leads by 13 points among all working-class Latino men.
and
Interestingly, while Trump is preferred over Harris among all Hispanic voters on dealing with inflation and the cost of living and the economy generally, his biggest lead over Harris (13 points) is actually on “securing the border and controlling immigration”(!)
The quotes above are regarding a recent NBC/Telemundo poll.
Here’s his conclusion:
Combined with general deterioration among working-class voters of all races, it appears Democrats, win or lose in this election, are in urgent need of a new theory of the case for growing their coalition. Without it, any majorities they attain will be tenuous, undercutting their ability to govern effectively. And, no doubt, leaving the American people increasingly frustrated.
Those results certainly conflict with the prevailing narrative. When a majority of Hispanic voters are voting Republican, I won’t be surprised if the Democrats’ view of immigration shifts dramatically.
When a majority of Hispanic voters vote Republican and the Black vote is split, the Democrat media will have their hands full explaining how Democrats still eked out a slim victory, again.