What is to be done?

The seizing of the school in Beslan, Northern Ossetia, in Russia and the subsequent tragedy there has, I am sure, touched all feeling people. Where can we send words of consolation? How can we help? What can be done?

As to the first question, I don’t honestly know the answer. I’ll do a little checking and see if I can find an answer. As to the second, I only have a few small answers. Donations to the Red Cross/Red Crescent are always helpful. Another good possibility is Command Post’s Strengthen the Good. UPDATE: Stan from Logic & Sanity has suggested this as an alternative for those who want to help the people in Beslan. UPDATE: Condolences may be sent to the Russian embassy.

The bulk of this post will be concerned with addressing the final question: what is to be done?

First, a little background. For information on Chechnya see here. For a brief survey of Chechen history go here. For a sketch of recent Chechen history go here. The best resource for up-to-the-minute information on the current situation in Beslan is Stan at Logic & Sanity. Stan draws our attention to this article for background information on the development of jihad in Chechnya.

There has been conflict between the Chechens and Russians since the 16th century and there has never been any extended period since then during which this has not been the case. The Chechens have endured almost unbelievable privations at the hands of the Russians. From 1943 to 1957 under Stalin (and for four years after his death) the entire population was forcibly removed from Chechnya to Kazakhstan. This is living memory.

Russia is reluctant to allow an independent Russian state. In my opinion this is understandable. States are naturally resistant to the idea of pieces of them drifting off. The Russians are actually going through a period of USSR nostalgia and are more acquisition-minded than supportive of secession. And Chechnya has oil. The oil industry is nearly the only functional component of the Chechen economy.

Putin’s immediate reaction—a crackdown—is understandable, and no doubt popular, but probably counter-productive. Russia needs to find a formula or process with specific, achievable goals for substantial Chechen autonomy within the Russian Federation.

The preachers of jihad must be rooted out and expelled. This is a pragmatic necessity. Doing this without molesting peaceful Muslim missionaries will be challenging and I wouldn’t be surprised if there were not a substantial error in the direction of prudence. Armed Liberal at Winds of Change has characterized the worldwide conflict against terroristm as, at least in part, a War on Bad Philosophy. A vacuum of belief should not be encouraged. Orthodox and other Christian missionaries and Central Asian Sufi missionaries should be encouraged to fill the vacuum.

Finally, the needs of the Chechen people should not be ignored. So far Russian efforts at reconstruction in Chechnya have predictably been macro-solutions and, also predictably, have been subject to massive waste, fraud, and abuse. Little of the money has been used as intended.

As an alternative I suggest a small-scale, local approach like the MicroLoan program. This aid should be personal and channeled through the missionaries I talked about above.

In the comments section of a related post on Obsidian Wings, one of the commenters made a really splendid suggestion:

We should present a plan to Russia. The plan involves U.S. technical, diplomatic, political and whatever other sort of assistance is required against the Chechnyans, while the Russians provide technical, military, diplomatic, and political assistance, including pressure on Arab states, in Iraq. We don’t present it as a quid pro quo–just as a package of actions that need to work together to compliment each other.

We can offer to explicitly, publicly, and consistently say that Russia’s joining of the effort in Iraq is not an endorsement of the original invasion, but rather a recognition that all peaceful and law-abiding powers must work together to combat the possibility that Iraq could become a breeding ground for terrorism.

Russia is over a barrel–they are in big trouble and need all the help they can get. Meanwhile, we need some help, too, some help that they can provide. Let’s start up ap mutual back-scratching society.

Add to that suggestion not merely aid against the Chechens but aid for the Chechens to give them something to live for rather than just something to die for and you’ve got the makings of something.

The growth of terrorism in Chechnya does not help us but the growth of autocracy in Russia doesn’t either. We need to seize this opportunity not only to encourage constructive engagement between Russians and Chechens but between Russia and the United States.

5 comments… add one
  • T. J. Madison Link

    Indeed.

  • thibaud Link

    Agree, and raise you one. Time for a deep and strategic relationship with Russia, and also with India and Turkey. Forget the worthless EU dwarves. Box Iran with the great powers in teh region who grasp that the islamist threat is existential.

    Just as the Russo-Japanese debacle forced the end of tsarist autocracy in 1905, Breslan has forced Putin to admit systemic failure and the need to reverse the criminalization of the Russian state.
    He’s said as much in his recent address to the nation. Read it carefully.

    As to the details, we can offer Russia not just technical military cooperation but massive amounts– McKinsey estimates $100 billion’s needed– in private sector investment by our oil majors into Russia’s pathetically dilapidated oil infrastructure; billions to compensate Russia’s nuclear industry for foregone contracts from Iraq; a massive increase in money for nonproliferation assistance; and discounted medicine and drugs to help stem Russia’s health care crisis that will if unchecked cause the Russian population to shrink by as much as 25% during the next few decades.

    Look east, Americans. Let NATO die a quiet death and start developing deep and strategic relationships with nations that truly can help (and hurt) us in the effort to contain a nuclear Iran: Russia, India, Turkey, Israel.

  • Pessimist Link

    Beholding armchair startegists in action warms my heart! 🙂

    >As to the first question, I don’t honestly know the answer
    And that truly is the final answer at the moment. No one does.

    >There has been conflict between the Chechens and
    >Russians since the 16th century
    More like since the 19th. 1840s or thereabouts, I think.

    >Russia needs to find a formula or process with
    >specific, achievable goals for substantial Chechen
    >autonomy within the Russian Federation.
    They’ve tried. Unfortunately all the players are rather hardheaded and extremist there. Also, there’s no single player in Chechnya, it’s a number of groups none of which controls the rest; some of these groups go much farther than just independence, they want an Islamic Caliphate “from the Caspian to Black sea.”

    Moreover, they had a few years of de-facto independence after the Russians withdrew in ’96, but it didn’t do any good: there was no established authority, and the place descended into chaos — banditry, kidnappings, murder, etc. The Russians returned in ’99 because some Chechen field commanders mounted a raid into Russia (first step towards achieving their Caliphate.)

    > The preachers of jihad must be rooted out and expelled.
    Easy for you to say :-). They’ve tried to do that — by the most violent means (abundant war crimes including, kidnapping, collective punishment, torture, “disappearings”, organizing of a proxy force there, as well as robbery and extortion — on the side, so to speak.) As you can see the results are less than impressive.

    >Time for a deep and strategic relationship with Russia,
    >and also with India and Turkey.
    Turkey is supportive of the Chechens — not brazenly, but still. Militants frequently go to Turkey for medical treatment, R&R, and a safe heaven, of course. There’s an old Chechen diaspora there.

    > Box Iran with the great powers in teh region
    The Russians are building a nuclear reactor in Iran (in Bushehr). The US and “EU dwarves” have been begging them to stop for years, but to no avail so far.

    >Breslan has forced Putin to admit systemic failure and
    >the need to reverse the criminalization of the Russian
    >state. He’s said as much in his recent address to the
    >nation. Read it carefully.
    Right. Read it carefully indeed: he’s hinted at the West’s role in supporting this guerilla war and undermining Russia.

    >we can offer Russia … massive amounts– McKinsey
    >estimates $100 billion’s needed– in private sector
    >investment
    They don’t have a solid legal system, so that won’t happen. Read up on the Yukos affair and the recent murder of Paul Klebnikov, a Forbes journalist. The business climate that they have is anything but investment friendly. What they have is a mighty presidency; one-party, puppet parliament; and a fully dependent judiciary. No one’s gonna give them $100 billion in those conditions.

  • donations to help Beslan children:

    http://www.moscowhelp.org/

  • CrystalTolbert Link

    I would like to know how I could help with funding to rebuild the school. I have a great group of friends who would love to get some frundraisers for money to send for lumber and such to get the School in operation once again-and maybe this time with better security devises.

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