What About Tesla?

Tesla has boosted its production up to 500 cars a month, still far below the 5,000 a month predicted by Elon Musk and it’s started to run into the same sort of problems with its autonomous vehicles that Uber has.

Predictions. What’s the most likely future for Tesla?

  1. Tesla will overcome its production problems, get more financing, and ultimately become the leader in both electric cars and autonomous vehicles. In 50 years Elon Musk will be viewed as a visionary genius.
  2. Tesla will never really overcome its production problems but it will get additional financing and continue to struggle along for the foreseeable future.
  3. Tesla and Elon Musk more generally will continue to produce what are essentially concept models of products. There will always be people willing to throw money at it and him, including the taxpayer.
  4. In 5 years Tesla will fold and Elon Musk will be thought of as a rent-seeking flimflam man.
5 comments… add one
  • Andy Link

    I have no idea actually – I don’t follow Tesla at all and only follow Elon’s space stuff.

  • walt moffett Link

    my thought is a mix of B&C as long as he can keep the chattering class on his side. He loses them, then is D

  • Roy Lofquist Link

    D+. I’m a softy.

  • Guarneri Link

    D

  • mike shupp Link

    Probably B — I’ll give this a 40% chance. A and C maybe each get a 25% chance, leaving 10% for D.

    Partly I’m thinking of SpaceX, where Musk actually seems to have accomplished something solid. And partly I’m thinking that success in the electric car and solar cell businesses is apt to depend on federal and state policies that aren’t in Musk’s control — what happens to Tesla if Donald Trump decides Musk is an enemy?

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