Understanding Today’s Politics

I’ve run across a couple of interesting ideas about today’s politics in my readings this morning. From an article at n + 1 by Aziz Rana from earlier this year, were the fringe factions within the two major political parties subordinated during the Cold War and have re-emerged now that the Cold War is over?

THE 2016 ELECTION WAS THE LAST ELECTION of the cold war. The conflict that molded generations of American elites has ceased to function as the framing paradigm of American politics. Even decades after the fall of the Soviet Union, an account of the cold war—and of cold war victory—contained disagreement in Washington and formed a consensus that linked the center-left to the center-right. This consensus, based on a set of judgments that coalesced in the aftermath of World War II, concerned everything from the genius of America’s domestic institutions to the indispensability of its global role. These judgments gave coherence to the country’s national identity—allowing both Barack Obama and Bill Kristol to wax poetic about America’s special destiny as a global hegemon—and legitimacy to its economic policy. But with the 2016 election, the cold-war paradigm finally shattered.

Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, the establishment candidates, found that the value of their political inheritance had collapsed; in a sense, they were the last scions of Harry Truman and Dwight Eisenhower. Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump marked the return of the repressed: the reemergence of two varieties of popular politics that were common until the 1940s but were eventually crushed under the pressure of the long cold war. Socialism was no longer anathema, as memories of the Soviet Union faded, but neither was white nationalism in all its terror and intensity. For good and for bad, a door had been unlocked. Today, the country is more ideologically open than it has been since the 1940s.

Much of the ensuing political science commentary has been a lament over the destruction of norms. As noted by Jedediah Purdy in Dissent:

A political science fixated on norms fits easily with a political ethics based on virtue, and the crisis-of-democracy literature really, really wants us to be better, more grateful citizens. Mounk, for instance, calls for a version of “renewing civic faith” that strikes just the right balance of political trust and doubt, a prudent tonic of “inclusive nationalism” that is neither too cosmopolitan nor too particular. He is free with “we” and “our.” So are they all.

It was another habit of the long 1990s to assume that because the political problems of ideological contest had been solved, what remained was a matter for either experts or ethicists. It isn’t surprising that, when expertise seems to be losing its authority, the diagnosis falls back on ethics—the demonstrably odious character of the president, but also the norms of American political culture, and, at bottom, the attitudes of its citizens.

but our problem today is not an unvirtuous citizenry but virtueless leaders. People are willing to forgive venal leaders, e.g. Bill Clinton, when everything seems to be moving in the right direction. Both accepting Bill Clinton and his subsequent impeachment by the House were violations of important political norms. That’s a jinn not easy to stuff back into the bottle.

3 comments… add one
  • steve Link

    Hmm, I dont think this is all on our leaders. Heaven knows it is not politically correct to hold voters responsible for anything, but maybe they should be.

    Think about this. Blue states pay most of our taxes. We frequently see more people voting for Democrats in the House and in the Senate, but seeing the GOP ending up with more people in office. Same with POTUS. Yet, the voters, meaning the conservative voters, are perfectly happy with this. They actually push the idea that they would have even better control if it wasn’t for the meanies in the MSM. Our Constitution is intended to protect the minority, not guarantee that the minority gets to run things. Voters need to stop looking the other way, or as now happens more often, not cheer on these efforts.

    Steve

  • I dont think this is all on our leaders.

    I do. Look at the last Chicago mayoral election. Which candidate should I have voted for for better governance? Answer: there was no candidate who would have provided better governance.

    Or the 2016 presidential election. Neither Hillary Clinton nor Donald Trump should have been within 1,000 miles of the nomination but they were the nominees because of the fecklessness of the party organizations. The fecklessness took different forms in the Democratic Party than the Republican but it was fecklessness nonetheless.

  • Andy Link

    Steve,

    There are several problems with your assertions.

    First of all “Blue” states aren’t homogeneously blue. The overall voting pattern of the state doesn’t reflect the partisan ration of who is actually paying taxes in that state. There are more Republicans in California, for example, than there are people in several smaller states. This is a product of geography and population. It’s also not clear why the fact that “blue” states pay more taxes matters. What is the point of bringing this up?

    Secondly, the fact that the percentage of votes nationwide for the two parties does not perfectly match the distribution of seats in the Senate and House has nothing to do with voters, it’s part of our system and has been part of our system in every election. In fact, when Brookings looked at this a couple years ago, they determined that the party that won the majority in the House benefitted from this disparity in every single election going back to 1946:

    We see in each year since 1946, the party that wins the congressional majority realized a “seats bonus.” (A version of this analysis that examines only the two-party vote would indicate two exceptions to that pattern, in 1994 and 2006.) While the average size of the seats bonus has gotten smaller—3.9 percentage points since 1994, as compared to 6.5 percentage points between 1946 and 1992—the Republican edge in 2016—5.3 percentage points—is right in line with the historical average and is actually smaller than the comparable figures for 2012 and 2014.

    That means that Democrats have gotten a lot more mileage from this feature than Republicans. I’m neither a Republican nor a Democrat so I can’t explain why conservative voters are supposedly happy with this and liberal voters aren’t. It’s true that I only hear liberals complain about it – at least when the result isn’t in their favor. What conclusions should we draw from this?

    The simple reality is there have always been these variations, they are caused by geography and population because of the way our system of government is structured – it is not due to some fault of voters. If anyone is to blame it is the parties themselves as they determine the (usually two) candidates everyone has to select from.

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