Like many others in the blogosphere and in the media made some predictions for 2006. Some were right; some wrong; some spectactularly wrong. Here’s how I did:
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Iran tests nuclear weapon. | Second year in a row I’ve struck out with this prediction. |
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No Israeli or U. S. attack of Iran. | |
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Republicans hold House and Senate. | Well, I was spectacularly, incredibly wrong on this one. Not too many predicted what a great campaign the Democrats would run nor how foolish a campaign the Republicans would mount. |
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Bush not impeached over wiretape issue. | |
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Alito confirmed. | |
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Bush to nominate an additional Supreme Court Justice. | They’re holding on ’til the bitter end. |
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No Social Security reform, Medicare reform, or immigration reform. | |
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U. S. troops in Iraq stay above 100,000. | |
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Majority Shi’a government, neither wonderful nor awful. | This could be debated but I’ll give myself credit for this one. |
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Mostly Sunni Arab and foreign terrorist activity in Iraq. | I’m not sure whether to give myself half credit or a loss on this one. Half credit. |
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Resurgence of Tamil terrorist activity. | I’m giving myself half credit for this one, too. There’s a resurgence of Tamil-sponsored terrorist activity all right but it’s in Thailand. |
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Osama bin Laden not captured. |
Eight our of eleven of my predictions turned out to be correct for a total of 73%. Pretty good.
I’ll have my predictions for 2007 up tomorrow.
