The Plausible Baseline

The Concord Coalitions’s “plausible baseline” projects a deficit over the next ten years about three times as large as the ones that the CBO is projecting. I suspect a lot of the difference is that the Coalition isn’t assuming that the “Bush tax cuts” will be allowed to expire and they are assuming that the FICA cut will be extended. That’ll play hob with the actuarial soundness of the system.

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