Here’s a snippet from Gallup’s January 2020 poll of American satisfaction on various issues:
That highlights a point I have been making for some time. Historically, Americans have tended to re-elect presidents unless they are very unhappy with things as they are, particularly unhappy with the economy.
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is running largely based on a platform of transformation. As things look right now it’s quite possible he’ll win the Democratic nomination for the presidency (I continue to think that the Powers-That-Be in the Democratic Party will act to prevent that). Do you think that under the circumstances indicated in the poll to which I’ve linked a platform of transformation will gain enough support to supplant an incumbent president? Me, neither.
And if you’re wondering why all of the econometric models of the presidential election are predicting a Trump victory, that poll should provide your answer.
From now until November is still a long time and all sorts of things might happen but unless something dramatic happens, the headwinds do not favor any Democratic presidential candidate let alone Bernie Sanders, still largely a wildcard.
I think it’s difficult to gauge the current political environment and come up with any credible prediction for 2020. While the economy is polling well, the real headwinds, IMO, is the deluge of 24/7 criticism and sabotage that has accompanied Trump throughout his presidency. I cannot recoll a moment, temporarily relaxing partisan hostility, where bipartisan thumbs-up emerged or credit was given for some of this administration’s achievements. Most on the left even anoint Obama with the economical improvements seen in the last 3 years. Of course, if the economy had gone south, like Paul Krugman predicted, the economy would have been entirely bestowed on Trump’s “incompetent “ policies, with Obama’s hand in it nowhere in sight.
Anyway, I see it being a tall order for Trump to successfully thread his way through the rancorous political briar patch, dedicated to taking him down for any perceived irregularity or infraction. If this impeachment fails, the House is already poised to manufacture another impeachable offense until he can be permanently erased from the WH.
And those headwinds are the reason why the Democrats are pulling out the stops to remove Trump from the 2020 ticket. Because they feel they can’t win. Hell, Schiff even said it out loud we can’t let Trump stay in office because he’ll cheat his way to victory AGAIN.
They may believe they can ride out the storm that would occur if Trump were convicted, removed from office, and prevented from running for reelection. I’m not so sure. I don’t think much of this country would be willing to quietly accept what they consider to be a bogus and illegal prosecution. Anybody who’s ever been caught in a riot knows how fast a relatively peaceful protest can turn into nutso burn down the motherf**cker.
Frankly, I’m scared. These are the people who if they win are going to be running your life for the foreseeable future. If they’re willing to pull the sort of BS to take down a sitting President, just think what they’ll do to you if you get out of line. And FB, Google, and the other social media outlets are aiding and abetting them.
Again: Why is it so GD necessary to remove Trump? NOW? He isn’t Mr. H by any imaginable measure. No media outlet has been shut down. No journalist has been thrown into a gulag. No one’s being rounded up, in fact the sanctuary cities are doing their best to put the illegal immigrants living within their bounds above the law. Can’t they wait him out? He’s shown no signs of wanting to run for a 3rd term.
“Again: Why is it so GD necessary to remove Trump? NOW? “
I’ve wondered the same thing, Tars. I feel like the dems have rabies or something – there is so much foaming at the mouth and exaggeration that the country is going to He** in a hand basket should Trump be allowed to continue one second more in office. I understand the man is unorthodox, crudely direct, doesn’t mince words, and is given to humiliating his critics. However, there has also been a whirlwind of things getting done during the last 3+ years — mostly for the good…so far.
Apparently, Joe Biden has decided to out-Trump. Tried his get-tough stance in Falls, Iowa.
“Biden and his supporters closed their eyes in the quiet moderately sized conference room as the former vice president droned about his feud with Trump and promises to knock him out of the White House.
“So folks, um, but you know as much as he’s trying to destroy me and my family,†Biden said, “I hope I’ve demonstrated I can take a punch, and if I’m one nominee he’s going to understand what punches mean.â€
“The response from the crowd was silence.”
We’ll see how that works out for him.
” Most on the left even anoint Obama with the economical improvements seen in the last 3 years.”
Nope. We claim, and provide data to show it, that the economy improved at about the same rate during the Obama years as during the Trump years. We note that GDP growth is just slightly better with Trump, but at the cost of increased debt.
“Again: Why is it so GD necessary to remove Trump? NOW?”
Justice delayed and all that? So answer this one, why was it so important to impeach Clinton in Dec 1998? He was almost out of office already.
“Frankly, I’m scared. These are the people who if they win are going to be running your life for the foreseeable future. If they’re willing to pull the sort of BS to take down a sitting President, just think what they’ll do to you if you get out of line.”
Just think of how that applied in 1998. Besides, while it is your POV that abusing power to get another country to investigate your political opponent is normal, others think that is exactly what they were talking about in the Federalist Papers. As to how the country would be run, pretty much the way it was during the Clinton or Obama years.
“, dedicated to taking him down for any perceived irregularity or infraction.”
You guys have amnesia or something? Need I remind you again of the non-stop investigations to try to catch Obama. You even investigated Benghazi 8 times. I am pretty sure I have mentioned this before.
Steve
I have no amnesia about the healthy resistance to Obama’s policies, which did not comprise a 24/7 flaming of his presidency. Also, Obama had the majority of the MSM touting his policies, his glibness, ability to befriend so many celebrities and elites, while they rarely confronted him on being AWOL during the Benghazi siege, the tepid economy that skipped the summer of recovery promise, manipulation of the IRS, Iran deceptions and so on. Spying on reporters, having a controlled and non-transparent WH environment was lightly covered. Basically, Obama was treated gently by the press, with professional deference by the opposition party.