Risks of 2024

At The Hill Myra Adams lists eleven major risks in 2024. I’ll repeat the risk she lists. For her analysis, read her post.

1. What if a barrage of AI-generated content and social media from domestic and foreign players blur presidential campaign messaging, so that voters don’t know what is real or fake?
2. What if House Republicans vote to impeach President Biden?
3. What if Biden drops out?
4. What if the Supreme Court rules that Trump has presidential immunity and can not stand trial on Jan. 6-related charges?
5. What if Trump is convicted of a felony before November’s election, and polls show he still defeats Biden?
6. What if the economy keeps improving and growing with a strong stock market while inflation, interest rates and unemployment all trend lower?
7. What if Trump’s campaign rhetoric continues to sound authoritarian as he leads Biden in the polls?
8. What if the U.S. is drawn into a Middle East war against Iran-backed groups that continue to provoke U.S. naval ships and disrupt international commercial shipping?
9. What if, without U.S. aid, Ukraine falls to Russia?
10. What if war explodes on three fronts?
11. What if there is a terrorist attack in the U.S., and the perpetrators(s) enter over the southern border?

It’s too late to do anything about #1. The best solution would be an aware, educated, rational electorate. #6 is a positive risk; I hope all of those things happen. #10 and #11 concern me most.