Maybe it’s too early but I think this would be a good time to start giving odds on a few things.
For example, what do you think are the odds are of the electors of the Electoral College electing Hillary Clinton to the presidency, as urged by Lawrence Lessig at the Washington Post? That seems to me to be a plan that only a law prof could love and actually quite likely to provoke armed rebellion.
More likely: after looking at the practical implications of putting his business affairs into a blind trust Donald Trump decides thanks but no thanks on the presidency. That would be a fine kettle of fish.
Or of the Affordable Care Act being repealed and replaced within one year of Trump’s taking office? Frankly, I’m skeptical more on the practicality than on the merits.
Or of the State of Illinois defaulting on its debt? Presently, interest on the debt comprises about 11% of state revenues. Some state expenditures are actually mandated by the courts and Illinois remains without a budget, only paying the bills the courts have forced it to. I think the odds are still pretty long on this but it could happen.
Here’s something even more likely: the City of Chicago or one of its appendages, e.g. the Chicago Public Schools, defaulting on its debt? You can impose higher tax rates but that doesn’t necessarily bring in more money.
What other eventualities should we be betting on or against?
“That seems to me to be a plan that only a law prof could love”
Don’t forget academic political scientists. If we’re going to fantasize it might be funny if the EC make Pence President and Trump VP.
I think the ACA will be repealed the same way the Bush Tax Cuts were repealed.
I think that what we learned through the Constitutional wars was that the ACA is largely whatever the Presidents says it is. I think its likely that the preventive care mandates are eliminated, and I would agree with that.
Why do people like you keep ignoring Trump’s oft stated assertion that meeting so many working class Americans made him realize his imperative of having to represent them as their president?
Should be looking forward to a series of media reports, street demonstrations, etc that will make what LBJ saw over Vietnam seem mild. Also, a wave of court cases (and aggressive trying the case in public) that challenge every decision made by Trump and laws passed by Congress. Yet for all the shouting, turn out for the off year election will be at its historically low level.