I agree with the point that Eugene Robinson made in his Washington Post column:
I’m not counseling eye-for-an-eye revenge. I’m advising Democrats to consider what course of action is most likely to improve their chances of making gains in 2018, at both the state and national levels.
Here is the situation that Senate Democrats face in 2018:
Greater mobilization might help Democrats retain the seats in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or Florida, although if they continue their present tack those may be in doubt, too. I gravely doubt that mobilization was their problem in Missouri, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota, or West Virginia.
Will opposition to Neil Gorsuch’s appointment, as advocated by Mr. Robinson:
Senate Democrats should use any and all means, including the filibuster, to block confirmation of President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee. They will almost surely fail. But sometimes you have to lose a battle to win a war.
help them retain the Senate? How does nudging the Senate towards a veto-proof Republican majority help Democrats? Other than in a “the worse, the better” sort of way?
I agree with Mr. Robinson that Democrats should think strategically. IMO that means better messaging and better positions on the issues rather than greater mobilization.
Update
At RealClearPolitics Rebecca Berg echoes the points I made above:
The potential political downside could be much greater for the Democratic Party with Gorsuch than it ultimately was for the GOP with Garland — leaving reason to doubt that Democrats would fully obstruct the nominee rather than seek a more favorable fight elsewhere.
“I think it’s likely he’ll be confirmed,†said one Democratic Senate campaign operative, “and there will be a larger fight on the next one.â€
At the heart of Democrats’ dilemma is an unusually challenging Senate map ahead in 2018, which will feature 10 of their incumbents running for re-election in states where Trump won. Were Democrats to block Gorsuch for months to come, their obstruction could begin to impact those frontline races.
“If they continue to delay this for a year or two, I think there will be a consequence for states that Trump carried in a big way,†said Sen. Thom Tillis, a North Carolina Republican. “If you take a look at North Dakota, Montana, Missouri, Indiana and West Virginia, they’re all states that Mr. Trump carried by 17 points or more. I think the real people in those states are expecting action, and all those states have Democrat incumbent members who are up in 2018.â€
Democrats need to pick their battles carefully.