And I found this post by Kevin Drum gratifying, especially because I’ve been pointing this out for most of two decades, frequently to the bitter denunciation of progressives:

I’ve made this point many times before, and I want to make it again more loudly and more plainly today. It is not conservatives who have turned American politics into a culture war battle. It is liberals. And this shouldn’t come as a surprise since progressives have been bragging publicly about pushing the Democratic Party leftward since at least 2004.

Now, I’m personally happy about most of this. But that doesn’t blind me to the fact that “personally happy” means nothing in politics. What matters is what the median voter feels, and Democrats have been moving further and further away from the median voter for years:

but he’s worried about it:

Despite endless hopeful invocations of “but polls show that people like our positions,” the truth is that the Democratic Party has been pulled far enough left that even lots of non-crazy people find us just plain scary—something that Fox News takes vigorous advantage of. From an electoral point of view, the story here is consistent: Democrats have stoked the culture wars by getting more extreme on social issues and Republicans have used this to successfully cleave away a segment of both the non-college white vote and, more recently, the non-college nonwhite vote.

Plenty of facts, figures, and charts.

Not only are Democrats abandoning the white working class, they are rapidly discouraging blacks and Hispanics as well. It’s like the Cheshire cat.

I only have one major problem with Kevin’s post. The first is that progressives are not liberals. Most liberals are over 80 years old and are even more discouraged by the direction of their party than I. Liberals are tolerant; progressives aren’t. They reject any views that aren’t their own and their vision is always just beyond reach. That’s the nature of today’s progressivism. It’s a form of vanguardism but one unmoored from any principles other then overthrowing the existing order. Should their order become the existing order they’ll want to overthrow that, too.

Update

Some may ask why did it happen? I think that Bernie Sanders’s presidential campaign in 2016 moved the “Overton Window”. Add social media to that and the illusion of numbers they provide and that’s sufficient to explain it. If you wonder why it makes a difference, the answer is that I think we’re sitting on a powderkeg right now. There are places in the country that have been in a state of rebellion for more than a year.

I found this post by Mark t. Mitchell resonated with my post on the Sauganash Parade:

As Independence Day dawns again, the United States seems disoriented and on edge. The one-two punch of Covid-19 and urban riots, coupled with a sense of economic fragility and impending inflation, has left many feeling drained and nervous about the future. Institutions that once served as the ballast for national well-being have shown themselves to be untrustworthy. Americans brace for the next wave of disruption.

When Twitter, Facebook, and cable news frame the issues of the day, it’s hard not to be discouraged. We are polarized and angry, and the radical Left is to blame—or maybe it’s the fascist Right. The despair is often accompanied by a self-righteous assurance that things would be better if only our political opponents would disappear.

But another America still exists, beyond the sound and fury of Twitter and the Beltway. It lives quietly in homes, where parents try to raise their children well. It exists in schools, where dedicated teachers show up day after day to teach. It flourishes in neighborhoods, community centers, and diners, where neighbors gather for conversation and a shared story. It pervades churches, synagogues, and mosques, where families pause from their busy lives to return thanks to God. Indeed, despite the turmoil and uncertainty, we have much to be grateful for.

I’m grateful for my neighbors and my neighborhood. Not that I didn’t hear more than one political argument today.

Dr. Mitchell concludes:

Stewardship of this cultural and political inheritance means living gratefully and responsibly in such a way that we strengthen our institutions and pass them along to the next generation. We must seek to inculcate in ourselves and our children the habits and practices necessary for sustaining and improving what we have been given. Ignoring this task means squandering the very things that make a free society possible.

On Independence Day, set aside some time to remember and celebrate America’s founding principles. Let us recommit ourselves to the responsibility of upholding those principles with fidelity and steadfastness born of gratitude. Let us take seriously the responsibilities, and not just the rights, of citizenship. Americans are inheritors of great but fragile gifts; gratitude should foster a commitment to steward them well.

and yet there are some who are eager to discard that inheritance. In favor of what? Not even they can tell you.

Here’s a selection of pictures from this year’s Sauganash Parade. It was cancelled last year but back in full force this year.

The parade always begins with one of Chicago’s finest.

followed by a sequence of vehicles of all shapes and sizes.

This is the first time I recall seeing this shape.

We generally have some pipers in the parade.

And politicos are always well represented.

There were a few surprises. This lady was one of them.

He was another. That suit must have gotten hot after a couple of miles.

Various organizations.

My beloved Happy Foods. Not the greatest picture.

They were playing Dixieland. Not bad for what must have been a pickup group.

And my neighbors. They come in all shapes, sizes. colors, and religions. As I’ve said before in Sauganash “parade” is a verb. I’m convinced more people march in the Sauganash Parade than watch it.

Dogs of all shapes, sizes, and colors, too.

And that’s the end for this year.

As I’ve mentioned before I’ve been playing Baldur’s Gate 3 in its pre-release form. All that’s presently available is, essentially, the first chapter. I’ve played through three times now&mdaash;first as a fighter, then as a mage, and most recently as a rogue. I have found playing as a rogue the most fun. Some of that may be me; it also may be because my first time through (right up until the first patch was issued) it was practically unplayable.

I wish they’d release it officially already but that probably won’t happen until next year. It definitely has potential and I want to know what will happen next.

Or maybe the right questions are how does the teaching of American history vary from place to place in the country and how has it changed over the years? Those are the questions that came to me as I read Tyler Cowen’s opinion piece at Bloomberg, his thoughts on “revisionist history” for the 4th of July 2020. Here’s its opening:

True patriotism, especially of the American variety, comes from questioning the history you were born into. As July 4 approaches, we should all keep this in mind as we question some of the fundamentals of the American story — and we should ask ourselves not whether these reconsiderations are justified, but why there aren’t more of them. Revisionist history serves many useful purposes, and for the most part it should be encouraged — even though many particular revisionist claims turn out to be wrong.

For my part I think there’s revisionist history and revisionist history. I don’t think much of “revisionist history” that’s an outright lie, easily disproven, and does nothing but undermine any sense of common values. Keep in mind that the U. S. is distinctive among countries in that our nationhood is founded on shared values; without them we’re just a dormitory, a waystation.

Tyler is considerably younger than I am but I have known about racism, slavery, Jim Crow, the Tulsa race riots, the American Civil War and its foundations, and have considered American foreign policy skeptically since I was a kid. But some of that might be due to where I grew up, the schools I attended, and my family background.

Let’s consider one example of revisionist history: that Thomas Jefferson had an affair with a mulatto slave, Sally Hemmings, and sired several children by her. As I understand it the genetic evidence is unable to distinguish whether Jefferson or his uncle sired Sally Hemmings’s children and there is non-genetic evidence, e.g. letters that contradict the genetic evidence. We’ll never know. And yet it is taken as revealed truth by many. Why? I think it’s to undermine Jefferson’s contributions to our history and disrupt our shared values. To the extent that’s the case I think it’s harmful.

There’s another sort of revisionist history, for example, many people in the South do not believe that the American Civil War was fought over slavery. IMO there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the Civil War is not severable from slavery. I don’t think the view held by those Southern dissenters, that they were defending their homes against Northern invaders and the issue was one of states’ rights is healthy.

I don’t think much of Howard Zinn’s or Noam Chomsky’s revisionist histories and believe they are largely destructive. I think we’d be better off with Parson Weems than with them.

Here’s the conclusion of the editors of the Wall Street Journal’s observations on the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics’s Employment Situation Report:

By now anyone who wants a job can get one. Yet employment is still 7.1 million lower than in February 2020 while the Labor Department’s Jolts report showed 9.3 million job openings in April. The $300 federal unemployment bonus, which Democrats extended through Labor Day, allows many workers to earn more not working—and for up to 99 weeks in some states.

As a result, many workers are picky about which jobs they take, which San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly says is good. Not for many businesses and their customers. Ninety-four percent of nursing home providers said they had staffing shortages in the last month, and the industry continues to shed workers.

The reply is that businesses can merely increase wages, but most are doing exactly that. Many are offering bonuses for new hires. Average hourly wages increased 10.4% for production-level retail and 28% for leisure and hospitality workers at an annual rate. Disney recently announced a $1,000 signing bonus to recruit cooks who earn $18 per hour for its Florida theme parks.

As businesses bid up wages, more workers are quitting for higher-paying jobs. The number of workers who voluntarily left their jobs to look for other work increased by 164,000 to 942,000. High worker turnover makes it hard to run a business, and the labor shortage is causing supply-chain problems and pushing up prices. Inflation has eroded wage gains in recent months.

The jobs recovery was always going to accelerate as the pandemic eased, and the labor market will recover faster as the $300 bonus for not working ends. Twenty-six states have either stopped accepting the bonus or soon will. The economy’s problem now isn’t too little work. It’s too few workers willing to do the work.

I think they’re oversimplifying things quite a bit. I don’t disagree with them that present White House policies have contributed to the problem and the President Biden is either misreading the present situation or has other motives for the policies he’s espousing.

But one of the problems is that the jobs on offer aren’t where the people are and there’s considerable geographical variation in both jobs and the unemployed. The unemployment rate in Los Angeles County is around 12%. In Dallas it’s 6%. Logan, Utah, Huntsville, Alabama, and Lincoln, Nebraska all have unemployment rates around 2%. El Centro, California’s is 16%. It takes more to induce people to move across the country than the availability of an undesirable job.

Another issue is that many of the jobs on offer are, frankly, crappy jobs (in some cases literally). Nursing home workers? Leisure and hospitality? IMO a little deeper thought is called for. Is the approach we are taking to filling those needs the right one? Should we subsidize a return to the way things were or, as Mr. Biden has vowed, should we “build back better”? That will mean that some of the businesses that closed over the last year will remain closed.

Don’t get me wrong. I don’t think that government policy should stand in the way of a return to the way things used to be but I don’t think we should be subsidizing it, either, by ensuring the creation of vast numbers of low wage jobs.

The breastbeating about the U. S. withdrawal from Afghanistan continues, this time in the form of a Washington Post column by Josh Rogin:

When President Biden chose in April to withdraw all U.S. forces from Afghanistan by September, we were among those who judged that the result would be a disaster for the country’s 38 million people — and in particular, its women. Now, that tragedy appears to be unfolding more quickly than even many of the pessimists imagined. In recent weeks, Taliban forces have captured dozens of districts in a nationwide offensive, surrounding several provincial capitals and blocking key roads into Kabul. On Tuesday, the top U.S. military commander in Afghanistan, Gen. Austin S. Miller, met with reporters and warned with remarkable bluntness that “civil war is certainly a path that can be visualized,” adding: “That should be a concern for the world.”

concluding:

Mr. Biden has long been a skeptic of the U.S. mission in Afghanistan, and he has stuck to that position even as the number of troops and expenditure dedicated to it have drastically shrunk. His view has been that the war against the Taliban is unnecessary and unwinnable. But the descent from stalemate to defeat could be steep and grim. We wonder whether he has fully considered the consequences.

Not one of those who lament our withdrawal from Afghanistan has proposed a mitigation plan that did not involve occupying Afghanistan permanently, taking casualties every step of the way. We’ve got to remember that this day was always going to come unless we were willing to occupy Afghanistan forever which four consecutive presidents said was not the case. Responding to 9/11 was a necessity; invading Afghanistan led to the occupation which led to today.

I believe it is incumbent on those who are now lamenting our withdrawal to produce their mitigation plans. They should also explain how permanent occupation of Afghanistan is in our national interest. Show me your plan.

The editors of the Wall Street Journal remark on the Michigan state senate’s investigation of the 2020 election:

While the report identifies “clear weaknesses in our elections system that require legislative remedy,” it is unsparing about misinformation and innuendo. As Democrats regained power after the 2016 election, Mr. McBroom writes, “they were quick to utilize all of it to spend two years chasing every conspiracy and specious allegation.” He adds: “I pray my own party will not repeat this mistake for the next four years.”

The committee investigated 200 alleged dead voters. Only two problems were found. One was “a clerical error” involving a father and son with the same name. The other was an absentee ballot submitted by a 92-year-old, who then died four days before the election. That bad ballot should not have slipped through, though the report says 3,500 similar votes were caught.

Detroit’s counting center received deliveries of ballots at 3:30 a.m. and 4:30 a.m., but the inquiry found no evidence of fraud. A purportedly suspicious picture “was a photo of a WXYZ-TV photographer hauling his equipment.” Also, look at the numbers: Voter turnout in Wayne County (Detroit) was up only 11.4% last year, compared with 15.4% in the rest of Michigan, which hardly sounds like a dump of fake ballots. President Trump received a higher share of Wayne County’s vote in 2020 than in 2016.

The 35 page report can be found here if you care to read it. The bottom line is that Joe Biden did in fact carry Michigan. I don’t know what that portends for Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona but I think that Trump’s supporters should be prepared that Trump really did lose the 2020 election. Additionally, Mr. Trump’s behavior following the election is unlikely to gain votes for him should he be the Republican Party’s standardbearer in 2024. He will also be over 80 years old then—too old for him to be president. It’s over.

Unlike many Democrats I don’t that the conclusion to draw from all this sturm und drang is not how vile Republicans are but that our elections need to be more rigorous and transparent. Like Caesar’s wife they should be beyond reproach.

At Roll Call David Winston wonders whether Joe Biden will choose progressives or bipartisanship, noting that there’s some evidence that Democrats are miscalculating in taking the temperature of the American people:

The White House and congressional Democrats thought they could bring voters along by simply calling social spending programs they’ve wanted for years “infrastructure” on the front end. It is clear that there is buy-in from the electorate for reasonable government spending on true infrastructure. But contrary to what Democrats are arguing, they haven’t won over voters for their record-setting “human infrastructure” proposals offered in the name of economic growth.

The key point is that most Americans don’t believe that increased infrastructure spending will spur economic growth:

However, when the concept of traditional infrastructure spending is introduced, voter support went from only 36 percent believing in government spending to 50 percent believing that increased government spending on infrastructure like roads and bridges would generate economic growth.

On this statement, Republicans are neutral (39 percent to 40 percent). Independents tend to believe this more than not (45 percent to 32 percent). Not surprisingly, Democrats’ belief in the connection between infrastructure spending and growth is even stronger (65 percent to 16 percent).

That’s an odd diction. I don’t believe that increased government spending on infrastructure will increase economic growth (for reasons I called out yesterday). I do believe that improved infrastructure will increase economic growth. The difference between the two is a short term vs. long term one.

IMO Mr. Biden will choose the progressives or, said another way he will choose party unity over national unity. That’s implicit in his political history which, as I have previously noted, is that he is a centrist in the sense that he determines where the center of the Democratic Party is and heads there. Since the party is being pushed left by the its progressives faster than the country as a whole, the consequences of that could prove interesting.