I want to call attention to Nate Silver’s most recent comments about Joe Biden’s polling data:
Democrats usually assume that they win elections though turnout rather than persuasion. It’s not a crazy proportion, by any means. But it looks like a losing approach for 2024.
Read the whole thing. You may find it interesting.
IMO Joe Biden’s problem is not only that the media has become more partisan but that Americans, generally, are becoming increasingly disenchanted with both political parties. Maybe securing an ever-higher percentage of a decreasing percentage of the population is a winning formula but I doubt it.
And maybe that’s one of the risks of both of our political parties becoming gerontocracies (rule by the old). Their reflexes are off. They may have worked 30 years ago but maybe not so well today.
Nate Cohn’s piece in the NYT is a good companion to Silver’s.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/02/upshot/poll-biden-trump-2024.html?unlocked_article_code=1.aE0.gJeK.qljgsXKiHKvk&smid=url-share
It’s still only March, and a lot can happen, but the number of Democrats who have already entered either blame-the-media or head-in-the-sand mode is genuinely surprising.