Interdiction As a Strategy

Something else you might find interesting is this post by Matthew Suarez at the site of the U. S. Naval Institute contrasting two different views of naval interdiction:

If a war should occur in the near future between the United States and China, the U.S. Navy should again explore the significance of trade interdiction as a strategy of war in the global economy. In a January 2020 Proceedings article, Daniel Ward proposed that Sir Julian Corbett’s 1911 work, Some Principles of Maritime Strategy, offers the best model for developing such a strategy, and suggested “the United States must disengage itself from the allure of Alfred Thayer Mahan” and, instead, embrace “Corbett’s concepts of blockade, ‘cruisers,’ and attacks on trade as more sensible options for containing and strangling China in a possible war.”1

However, in reading Mahan’s works carefully, particularly his later works, one sees that the effective interdiction of commerce underpins his entire theory of sea power. Battle by battlefleets is only a means to the ultimate end, which is to control the commons through blockade, i.e., effective trade interdiction. In developing this framework, Mahan acknowledged the growing importance of a globalized trade system to the application of sea power.

IMO the most effective form that 21st century interdiction of trade might take place is in the form of digital interdiction. We haven’t been taking that seriously enough, especially considering what poor digital citizens the Chinese are. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.

2 comments… add one
  • bob sykes Link

    Let us hope that the neocons in Biden’s Presidency do not engineer a war with China. The US Navy wants one right now, because they think they can win it, but maybe not a decade from now. Shades of German thinking v. Russia in both 1914 and 1939.

    However, it is dubious we could actually do an interdiction. Such a blockade would be a full-blown shooting war, and, most importantly, it would be fought on the territories of South Korea, Japan, The Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Malaysia. China is the main trading partner of almost all of those countries. They all just signed the RCEP agreement creating a free trade union among them. Not only would these countries lose a major trading partner, their own civilians would die in large numbers, and their civilian infrastructure would be devastated.

    In all likelihood, our regional allies would sit out a war that they can only lose. It is possible they would try to block the efforts of the US Navy, Marines, and Air Force. They might intern American forces on their territory.

    In any event, our system of alliances and bases in the Western Pacific would cease to exist.

  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    Just so happens that Nikkei published an interesting infographic on the topic of data flows between countries.

    https://vdata.nikkei.com/en/newsgraphics/splinternet/

    Their surprising conclusion (to me) is that more data is going to and from China then the US.

    When I think about it some more it is not that surprising. The Chinese process a must have “digital product” (Tiktok) in the US while the US doesn’t have any equivalents in China.

    If the tariffs were hard; I suspect any “digital interdiction” is going to be much harder.

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