28 manufacturers of electric vehicles (EVs) have banded together to form a consortium called the Zero Emission Transportation Association (ZETA) calling for 100% of vehicle sales to be EVs by 2030:
Twenty-eight companies in the electric vehicle industry, including big names like Tesla, Lucid, and Rivian, have joined forces to create a new organization called ZETA, with the goal to push for 100% electric vehicle sales by 2030.
Several markets have recently announced plans to move new car sales to electric vehicles only.
These initiatives, also referred to as bans on the sale of new gasoline-powered vehicles, have taken many forms on different timelines.
Most recently, we saw California move to put in place a plan to ban new gasoline-powered vehicle sales by 2035.
Now, 28 companies in the electric vehicle business are asking for an even bigger goal to be put in place: 100% electric vehicle sales throughout the light-, medium-, and heavy-duty sectors by 2030.
I would have a lot more confidence in the group and their objectives if they included Toyota, Ford, GM, or VW which account for most vehicle sales in the U. S. and don’t have such a huge stake in increased subsidies for EVs.
I have questions.
- Presently, EVs account for about 2% of vehicle sales (the most ever). Using present technology, can that be scaled up to meet the target? Include evidence.
- If it can’t be accomplished with present technology, what advances will be required to meet the target?
- What will the environmental impact of that increase in EVs be?
- It takes about 20 years to turn over the entire fleet. How much electricity will need to be generated by 2050 to satisfy the newly-electric vehicle fleet?
- Using present technology, how can that much electricity be produced and what are its material requirements?
- If it cannot be achieved using present technology, what advances will be required to meet the target?
- What will the environmental impact of that increase in power generation be?
I’m skeptical to say the least. I doubt they can scale up to producing 20 million EVs per year with or without subsidies. And I don’t think the power generation requirements can be met without nukes.
Reminds me that there was an Obama era initiative to put recharging stations every 50 miles on a big chunk of the interstate.
However nothing a lot of snark, keyboard warring, foot stomping, door slamming and eye ball rolling can’t get off the ground using only wind and solar.
Nuclear is the way to go, if we want to eliminate carbon dioxide (and other) emissions.
Transportation accounts for about 28 % of total US energy consumption. Almost all of it (including rail) is met by petroleum products. So, complete electrification of all vehicles would raise that to 40 % of total consumption. The actual increase in generating and transmission capacity would have to be larger than this, because of generation and transmission losses. Roughly, the entire generating and transmission system would have to be doubled in capacity.
Nuclear fission currently accounts for about 18% of total ELECTRICITY generation, and almost all the plants are nearly the end of their useful lives. That’s about 130 facilities that need to be replaced, plus additional plants to cover the transportation sector. So, the new electrical sector might need something like 500 new nuclear power plants.
California, which is leading the movement toward electrification of all transportation currently has shortages in electricity supply and transmission. Environmentalists there, who are in control, will not permit expansion of either, so it is hard to see how electrification of transportation will not lead to regular brownouts and blackouts.
The big problem with electrification is NIMBY. It is very difficult to imagine that any significant construction of new nuclear plants will be permitted. In fact, it is hard to see how any increase in electricity generation by and means and its transmission will be permitted. The net result of the attempt to electrify transportation will most likely be regular, rolling, national blackouts.
Electrification is the Trojan Horse that will radically reduce our manufacturing economy and largely eliminate our freedom of movement.
GM may not be part of the group but they’re on board with the plan.
All electric hummer for $124,000 due out in two years plus many other models in five.
https://www.gm.com/electric-vehicles.html?ppc=GOOGLE_700000001980004_71700000075926390_58700006502063134_p58770956629&&d_src=313715&d_adsrc=4137267&d_campaign=71700000075926390&d_site=GOOGLE&d_adgroup=58700006502063134&d_keyword=%2Bgm+%2Ball+%2Belectric&gclick=EAIaIQobChMI8_uUg-eY7QIVDmKGCh1DMASkEAAYASAAEgLwK_D_BwE&gclid=EAIaIQobChMI8_uUg-eY7QIVDmKGCh1DMASkEAAYASAAEgLwK_D_BwE&gclsrc=aw.ds
Home backup generator sales are soaring but writ large that puts a strain on the natural gas distribution system.
We’ve seen winters here where the pressure drops without generators sucking on it.