Donald Trump’s approval rating as measured by the RealClearPolitics Average of Indexes is presently at around 43% and has been holding steady for two months. Those two months have been filled with what his opponents consider damning revelations. That cannot be attributed to a handful of diehard Trump supporters.
He does have them but IMO they constitute about 35% of the people. The other 8% are people who are judging based on outcomes and have largely tuned out the barrage of enemy fire from the media and punditry.
My suggestion to Democrats and neverTrumpers is try something different. What you are doing now is not working. Americans’ opinion of the media is falling while their short-term opinion of Trump holds steady and the long-term trend is up.
“He does have them but IMO they constitute about 35% of the people. The other 8% are people who are judging based on outcomes and have largely tuned out the barrage of enemy fire from the media and punditry.”
Don’t think so, or at least not quite how I see it. I think that 43% is the true number of people who are really Republicans. They are the “independents” who “lean” right. I think we have pretty much the same thing on the left. SO that means about 86% of our voters are pretty much committed, leaving only 14% or os who are true independents. Using your numbers, and assuming the same for the left, would mean that 30% of voters are truly independent. I don’t think that fits with what political scientists have been finding out about voters.
Steve
We cannot say that the long term trend is up – just that it rose in the spring and been extremely steady since June.
However, if Trump gains another 2 points – then Nov becomes very interesting.
It’s a measure of Trump supporters’ tunnel-vision that they believe unfavorable numbers re: the media have nothing to do with Fox.
I think it’s clear what the majority of Americans are consistently not buying into is the right-wing victimization scam. Trump will probably win reelection, but he’s not going to get a majority. The GOP might hold onto the house, but they won’t get a majority of votes. Overall, normal intelligent people do not believe in this nonsense, and it’s driving Republicans out of their minds.