Michael Barone has noticed that what I’ve been predicting is happening. From his piece at RealClearPolitics:
Modest-income Jews used to be the key group in New York. White married homeowners were it in Los Angeles. “Bungalow ward” ethnics dominated in Chicago. In time, they faced challenges from candidates with nonwhite political bases — blacks, Puerto Ricans and Dominicans in New York, Mexicans in Los Angeles, and blacks and Hispanics in Chicago. Now gentry liberals are on top.
This reflects demographic change. Blacks have been moving from central cities to suburbs and the South. Mexican immigrant inflow largely shut down circa 2008. Affluent professionals and single college graduates have colonized — gentrified — neighborhoods such as Park Slope, Silver Lake and Wicker Park, with bedraggled but potentially attractive housing stock convenient to downtowns.
Gentrification thus inevitably reshapes the Democratic Party, which, from its beginnings in 1832, has been a series of coalitions of people regarded as somehow unusual Americans but who, taken together, are a national majority.
“Majority minority” hasn’t resulted in more attention being paid to the issues that matter to blacks, the issues that matter to Hispanics, or both. it’s enabled each group to be played off against the other by well-heeled, mostly white political operatives and apparatchiks who’ve cross-ruffed appointive and/or elective office with Rolodex hires by banks and other large companies, particularly financial companies into wealth.
They always claim they’re going to sock it to the rich but somehow it never happens. They are the rich.
The issues that will dominate the agenda among Democrats are the issues that matter to these “gentry liberals”, as Mr. Barone calls them.