The Self-Refuting Fareed Zakaria

It isn’t often that a newspaper columnist refutes his own thesis within the first couple of paragraphs but Fareed Zakaria has accomplished that in his most recent Washington Post piece. His thesis is that high levels of immigration have resulted in a right-wing populist backlash, not just in the United States but all over the world, and that “better management” would resolve the problem:

Western societies will have to better manage immigration. They should also place much greater emphasis on assimilation. Canada should be a role model. It has devised smart policies on both fronts, with high levels of (skilled) immigration, strong assimilation and no major recoil.

Eventually, Western societies will be able to adjust to this new feature of globalization. Look at young people in Europe and the United States, most of whom deeply value the benefits of diversity and seek to live in an open and connected world. That’s the future. We just have to ensure that we don’t wreck the world before we get there.

But consider this paragraph:

One way to test this theory is to note that countries without large-scale immigration, such as Japan, have not seen the same rise of right-wing populism. Another interesting case is Spain, a country that has taken in many immigrants, but mostly Spanish-speaking Latinos, who are easier to assimilate. While you see traditional left-wing economic populism in Spain, you do not see right-wing nationalist movements.

There are two countries other than Spain I think should be added to the analysis, both are quite similar to the United States, and neither are experiencing the right-wing backlash he mentions: Canada and Australia. Both have very large immigrant populations and high rates of immigration.

Both countries are highly selective in the immigrants they admit without the diversity quotas or family reunification policies that are primary features of U. S. immigration policy. Canada’s immigrants are mostly from China, India, or Europe. Australia’s immigrant population is overwhelmingly from the United Kingdom, China, or India.

Is any country anywhere in the world experiencing a right-wing populist backlash as a consequence of Chinese immigration? I don’t think so. But I’d really like to know.

The United States experienced very high levels of immigration, mostly from Mexico, over a period of forty years without the right-wing populist backlash that concerns Mr. Zakaria. More recently we’ve had roughly zero net immigration from Mexico. During most of that period we had significantly higher economic growth than we do now. And we didn’t have a populist backlash.

If an abstract “better management” will stave off a populist backlash, let me make a challenge to Mr. Zakaria. What should we have done in the case of the Somali immigrants? After twenty-five years their unemployment rate is still in double digits and they send more soldiers to DAESH than any other group in the U. S.

If by “better management” he means “deport illegal immigrants and don’t accept immigrants from West Asia or North Africa” he may have a point. Let me suggest an alternative model and solely for the United States, the country with which I am most familiar:

  • We can tolerate high levels and a high rate of immigration but
  • We should have a serious regime of workplace and border enforcement and
  • We should deport illegal immigrants and
  • The immigrants we accept from West Asia should be limited to the Iraqis, Afghans, etc. who have aided our military in our wars in the region and their families and
  • The federal government needs to convince the American people that the immigrants we accept will make them (the American people) better off rather than just the immigrants and their families.

If that’s the “better management” he’s proposing, then I’m in agreement with him. But I don’t think it is.

10 comments… add one
  • sam Link

    “Is any country anywhere in the world experiencing a right-wing populist backlash as a consequence of Chinese immigration? I don’t think so. But I’d really like to know.”

    Perhaps not currently, and I don’t know if you’d call it a “right-wing populist backlash”, but Chinese in Indonesia have had some problems: May 1998 riots of Indonesia:

    The May 1998 Riots of Indonesia (Indonesian: Kerusuhan Mei 1998),[1] also known simply as The 1998 Tragedy (Indonesian: Peristiwa 1998), were incidents of mass violence of a racial nature that occurred throughout Indonesia, mainly in Medan in the province of North Sumatra (4–8 May), the capital city of Jakarta (12–15 May), and Surakarta (also called Solo) in the province of Central Java (13–15 May). The riots were triggered by economic problems including food shortages and mass unemployment, and eventually led to the resignation of President Suharto and the fall of the New Order government. The main targets of the violence were ethnic Chinese…

    How would we characterize that?

  • Thank you, sam. That’s a good example.

    Despite substantial Chinese immigration neither Australia nor Canada are experiencing that. There may have been a “clash of cultures” issue in the events in Indonesia. 87% of Indonesians are Muslims.

  • PD Shaw Link

    There are some economic tensions with the Chinese abroad. In Indonesia, ethnic Chinese were about 2-3 percent of the population in the early 90s, but owned about 70% of capital. A lot of this capital flows to China in business arrangements that cause others to worry about hollowing out the country. Ethnic Chinese are privileged ethnic groups that have their loyalty to their native country challenged because they benefit from overseas family connections and language that connect them to larger commercial networks.

  • If that’s the case, not only does it not contradict my point—it supports it. The problem isn’t that the Chinese in Indonesia aren’t assimilating. The problem is that they’re Chinese and exploiting their competitive advantages. “Better management” on the part of the Indonesian government won’t change that unless by “better management” you mean no Chinese immigrants.

  • walt moffett Link

    IIRC, the anti-Chinese riots were also fueled by Mao promising protection to the “overseas Chinese”. Lets also not forget our own Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882 which wasn’t repealed until 1943.

    As to “better management”, wonder if that means a better set of talking points should have been issued and surrogates given more time to get them out. However, we’ll never know.

  • steve Link

    “Is any country anywhere in the world experiencing a right-wing populist backlash as a consequence of Chinese immigration? I don’t think so. But I’d really like to know.”

    I lost one of my best young docs when her in laws became rabid Trump supporters. They told her that Chinese should not be taking American jobs. She moved back to where her parents live. We have informally adopted one of our other young Chinese docs. She has expressed concern about comments along the same lines from other people, including nurses making snide remarks.

    However, overall, I don’t see this as a real big problem in the US. Conservatives mostly point to the Chinese as the “good” immigrants. Trump unleashed some generalized anger that may be directed towards immigrants in general, but I suspect it will go back to being directed at the usual groups.

    Steve

  • Conservatives mostly point to the Chinese as the “good” immigrants.

    Since most Americans can’t distinguish among Chinese, Koreans, Japanese, Laotians, Vietnamese, or Thais just by looking at them, I think they really mean East Asians. Since I spend a good deal of my youth among Japanese and then Korean men, I’m a little peculiar in this regard. To me Chinese look as different from Japanese as Swedes do from Sicilians.

  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    Dave, I like to point out that Canada IS suffering from a immigration backlash against Chinese immigrants. Look at this story http://fusion.net/story/353427/vancouver-housing-foreign-real-estate-tax/

    A quick recap, uncontrolled capitol flows from China, from those who are immigrating and those only investing, has made Vancouver real estate so unaffordable, that it’s fueled a foreigner tax on real estate that is widely viewed as a euphemism for “Chinese” tax and xenophobia against Chinese that you can find in the comments of any story covering it, and translating to actual acts of xenophobia.
    Its sad and predictable actually, Vancouver is one of the most accepting places ever, but if you are a 30 something that earns six figures and in the top 2/3% percentile of income and still cannot afford a house, you will be susceptible to xenophobic appeals.
    In the end, you can have too much of a good thing (like wealthy immigrants) – especially if governments don’t plan well (or at all).

    PS: observing Seattle and SF, this is a sleeper issue that could explode if there is a recession

  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    PPS: Even after all that, Vancouver is an incredibly diverse and accepting city, and the governments really did the best they could given the sentiments by targeting all foreigners who only want to invest.

  • The point is that Canadians haven’t reacted with a “right-wing backlash”. The opposite if anything. Maybe the explanation is the unique beneficence (or phlegmaticalness) of the Canadian people. I think a more likely explanation is the character of the immigrants.

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