Take the Over

The LA Times reports that a state-level single payer health insurance system is being pitched for the state of California:

With President Trump now vowing to put forward a replacement for the Affordable Care Act in March, some California politicians and healthcare advocates are once again promoting the idea of a state-run “single-payer” system that operates like Medicare.

Backers say the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s promise to repeal Obamacare presents California with a chance to rethink how healthcare is delivered to its 39 million residents.

“Why wouldn’t we take this as an opportunity to create what we want in California?” Dr. Mitch Katz, head of L.A. County’s health department, said at a conference in December. He mentioned a single-payer system as a possible solution.

Maybe we should start a pool. When will California adopt its own single-payer system?

I also wonder what the actuarial assumptions would be for the viability of such a system.

13 comments… add one
  • Andy Link

    If it were a separate country, California has the fifth largest economy in the world and a population that’s larger than Canada. If anyone can do it California can. However, I think the sticker shock will be severe.

  • California has a significant population of people with wonderful ideas. Its population of people who are willing to pay for the wonderful ideas is substantially smaller.

  • Andy Link

    True, but they could always do what your state does and make a state constitutional requirement….

  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    In a comment thread long ago, I had suggested that state-led health care reform was the way to go (that’s how Canada got to single payer).

    I think there is justified skepticism, it would require someone who is politically ambitious, but have no federal ambitions, and strong one party control. California was a candidate, only with the right governor. I thought that could be Newsom if he wins in 2018 — but perhaps Jerry Brown can do it. I think the biggest challenge is Jerry Brown is a lame duck and if can push the legislators to roll the dice.

  • Andy Link

    My home state of Colorado voted on this last year and it was decisively defeated. It didn’t have any mainstream support, however, not even among Democrats.

  • Modulo Myself Link

    Until there are credible people who can talk about money, health, and fairness at the same time, we’re stuck with Obamacare. Nobody in their right mind who has experience with the American health care system would volunteer for a healthy combo of deregulation plus an HSA.

    Watching the GOP flail should be a lesson to the Democrats. They wrote a law that is only wanted when it is about to revoked. And they built their idiot opposition into rivals.

  • michael reynolds Link

    Its population of people who are willing to pay for the wonderful ideas is substantially smaller.

    Then I wonder why we voted to raise our own taxes in 2012 and extended it last year?

    I call for a nationwide referendum on Calexit. We’d vote for it. And the Trumpanzees would vote for it, though I imagine New York and New England would be sad. Let’s do a Free State of the West: California, Oregon, Washington, Nevada and Hawaii. That’s about 3.5 trillion in GSP, which would make us about the same as Germany (using nominal GDP.)

    You people could wallow in your nativism and racism and gloomy paranoias and superstitious bigotries, we could keep going forward. It would be a win/win.

  • “Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen [pounds] nineteen [shillings] and six [pence], result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.”

    California’s public debt is rising faster than its public income (the debt is about ten times larger than the $40 billion or so usually cited by state officials).

  • Andy Link

    Michael,

    There’s something I don’t understand. Last year you argued several times that the notion (and I’m working from memory here) of state an local government and authority was an anachronism. Now you are arguing the opposite. What’s changed besides Trump?

    Calexit will go nowhere and, despite it’s relative wealth, California can’t afford it. Besides, the issue of secession has already been settled.

  • michael reynolds Link

    Andy:

    That was before 46% of the American people lost their damned minds. I quite dislike getting shots, too, but if there’s an epidemic I’ll be right there in line.

    Of course Calexit won’t go anywhere, but it’s absurd to say we couldn’t manage it. What exactly is the rest of the country giving us that we need? If we’re playing alternate history let’s bring some imagination to it. We could repudiate our share of the federal debt and ladida into the sunset. Just for starters. And I don’t recall California having any foreign entanglements or international commitments. And you think only the Chinese can artificially undervalue their currency? I’m going with the California Miguel. No reason, just seems like a nice name for a currency.

  • Andy Link

    Michael,

    As noted in a comment a week or so ago, it’s only about 19%, not 46%.

    With enough sacrifice, and with no other option, I’m sure the people of California could manage it…but that would result in a much different California than you enjoy today.

  • Guarneri Link

    “I also wonder what the actuarial assumptions would be for the viability of such a system.”

    Faulty, given those for the Pension system. Maybe California should secede, what with it being so financially sound and all.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-01/calpers-threatens-slash-pension-benefits-63-some-unfortunate-east-san-gabriel-califo

  • michael reynolds Link

    Guarneri:
    Zero Hedge, of course. What, nothing available on Infowars?

    Zero Hedge was established in 2009.[6] According to the Boston Business Journal, the website “publishes financial news and opinion, aggregated and original” from a number of writers “who purportedly hail from within the financial industry.”[6] Posts on the website are signed “Tyler Durden,” a character in the Chuck Palahniuk book and movie Fight Club.[6][5]

    In 2009, shortly after the blog was founded, news reports identified Daniel Ivandjiiski, a Bulgarian-born former hedge-fund analyst who was barred from the industry for insider trading by FINRA in 2008, as the founder of the site, and reported that “Durden” was a pseudonym for Ivandjiiski.[5][7][8][1] One contributor, who spoke to New York magazine after an interview was arranged by Ivandjiiski, said that “up to 40” people were permitted to post under the “Durden” name.[5] The website is registered in Bulgaria at the same address as that of Strogo Sekretno, a site run by Ivandjiiski’s father, Krassimir Ivandjiiski.[9] Zero Hedge is registered under the name Georgi Georgiev, a business partner of Krassimir Ivandjiiski.[10]

    In April 2016, the authors writing as “Durden” on the website were reported by Bloomberg News to be Ivandjiiski, Tim Backshall (a credit derivatives strategist), and Colin Lokey. Lokey, the newest member revealed himself and the other two when he left the site.[1] Ivandjiiski confirmed that the three men “had been the only Tyler Durdens on the payroll” since Lokey joined the site in 2015.[1] Former Zero Hedge writer Colin Lokey said that he was pressured to frame issues in a way he felt was “disingenuous,” summarizing its political stances as “Russia=good. Obama=idiot. Bashar al-Assad=benevolent leader. John Kerry=dunce. Vladimir Putin=greatest leader in the history of statecraft.”[1] Zero Hedge founder Daniel Ivandjiiski, in response, said that Lokey could write “anything and everything he wanted directly without anyone writing over it.”[1] On leaving, Lokey said: “I can’t be a 24-hour cheerleader for Hezbollah, Moscow, Tehran, Beijing, and Trump anymore. It’s wrong. Period. I know it gets you views now, but it will kill your brand over the long run. This isn’t a revolution. It’s a joke.”[1]

    Is it a requirement now that Trumpanzees feed on nothing but Russian bananas? At least try the WSJ. Do you need a subscription?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zero_Hedge

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