There’s an interesting article over at the Beeb you might want to look over. It starts being an article about the imbalance between the sexes among 16-17 year olds in Sweden but it takes a sort of left turn. As it turns out the number of migrants presenting themselves for asylum in Sweden is remarkably skewed towards a) males, b) teenagers, and c) people from Afghanistan and Syria. After examining some of these teenagers a little more closely it turns out that some of them are in their late 20s.
If the truth be told, I suspect that we’d learn that the asylum seekers were from all over the Middle East, North Africa, and West Asia and they’re telling the stories they think need to be told to be granted asylum. There are all sorts of possible explanations for why they skew so heavily male but my own pet theory is that they’re mostly draft dodgers, military deserters, criminals, and present or former terrorists. That would be understandable under the circumstances but not as sympathetic as young families fleeing war.
There’s an uncomfortable truth reflected in this article. How in the heck do you check the bona fides of people from countries where patronymics are used as names and reliable censuses haven’t been conducted for years if ever? In Europe people were forced to adopt permanent surnames coincidentally right about the time that modern states were forming and reliable censuses began to be taken. That’s an interesting story and one I’ve written about before.
I think the sad truth is that the only country that’s really capable of screening asylum seekers is United States and we’re only capable of screening a small number: those who’ve worked with our military and we do that by direct testimony. Yes, that’s the guy. Yes, he worked for us.
As it is Sweden, Denmark, Germany, et al. will end up granting permanent asylum to the guys who tell the best sob story. In my cynical view those will skew heavily towards criminals and terrorists but we’ll see. It will be a learning experience for all involved.