The outrage of the day is over President Trump’s allegedly sharing classified information with the Russian foreign minister and ambassador. That is either high treason or wholly appropriate, depending on who you listen to.
If those now calling for Trump’s impeachment hadn’t been calling for his impeachment for the last six months, their position would be stronger. As it is, they might just be background noise.
At this point I have no opinion on the material facts or on whether Trump should be impeached over it. I would remind people that building a case for impeachment is not a matter of marshalling objective facts. Impeachment is a political and subjective act.
A “high crime and misdemeanor” is whatever the House of Representatives thinks it is and, contrary to what you might believe, nothing passes the House against the wishes of the House leadership.
As of this morning the RealClearPolitics average of polls on Trump’s approval rating is 40.1% and falling. That’s still not in the danger zone. If it falls below the previous apparent floor of 38% into the 20s, Trump will be in trouble. Otherwise not so much.
I did not vote for Trump. I wish he were not president. I don’t think his shenanigans improve his bargaining position.
However, I don’t believe in government by impeachment and the only advice I can provide to those who do is be careful what you wish for.
The Republican-led Congress didn’t impeach President Obama. That wasn’t because he didn’t provide grounds. It was because his approval rating was too high and impeaching him would have placed the Republicans’ majority and their own jobs at risk.
Trump’s approval rating is dreadfully low. It has both a ceiling of around 49% and a floor of around 38% so far. If that floor doesn’t hold, Trump could be in trouble.