Explanation Wanted

I think I need to have somebody explain President Obama’s speech before the Congressional Black Caucus last night to me because I don’t believe I understand it. Let me give you some examples.

Consider this:

We knew at the outset of my presidency that the economic calamity we faced wasn’t caused overnight and wasn’t going to be solved overnight. We knew that long before the recession hit, the middle class in this country had been falling behind — wages and incomes had been stagnant; a sense of financial security had been slipping away. And since these problems were not caused overnight, we knew we were going to have to climb a steep hill.

But we got to work. With your help, we started fighting our way back from the brink. And at every step of the way, we’ve faced fierce opposition based on an old idea — the idea that the only way to restore prosperity can’t just be to let every corporation write its own rules, or give out tax breaks to the wealthiest and the most fortunate, and to tell everybody that they’re on their own. There has to be a different concept of what America’s all about. It has to be based on the idea that I am my brother’s keeper and I am my sister’s keeper, and we’re in this together. We are in this thing together.

I agree with that. However

We had a different vision and so we did what was right, and we fought to extend unemployment insurance, and we fought to expand the Earned Income Tax Credit, and we fought to expand the Child Tax Credit — which benefited nearly half of all African American children in this country. (Applause.) And millions of Americans are better off because of that fight. (Applause.)

Ask the family struggling to make ends meet if that extra few hundred dollars in their mother’s paycheck from the payroll tax cut we passed made a difference. They’ll tell you. Ask them how much that Earned Income Tax Credit or that Child Tax Credit makes a difference in paying the bills at the end of the month.

How does the second quotation relate to the first paragraph of the first quotation? Is the president’s plan for “the economic calamity we faced” just to ameliorate the circumstances of those hardest hit? I think we should that but I don’t think it’s hardly enough.

There are some hints later on:

Right now we’ve got millions of construction workers out of a job. So this bill says, let’s put those men and women back to work in their own communities rebuilding our roads and our bridges. Let’s give these folks a job rebuilding our schools. Let’s put these folks to work rehabilitating foreclosed homes in the hardest-hit neighborhoods of Detroit and Atlanta and Washington. This is a no-brainer.

Will that put “millions of construction workers” back to work? Even the most sanguine of estimates of the number of jobs for construction workers created by the ARRA, the first stimulus package, are much, much smaller than that. Will this second, smaller package be that much more successful?

Or this:

Why should we let China build the newest airports, the fastest railroads?

I think I know the answer to this question: because we built our airports a long time ago and China is just catching up and whether high speed rail is worthwhile is in question, even in China after their major high speed rail accident a few months ago.

There are also a number of shout-outs about the importance of education. I wonder if the president is aware that only about 8% of the degrees in science and engineering are awarded to black graduates while African Americans make up about 14% of the U. S. population, a significant discrepancy. Does the president believe that the jobs of the future that education is preparing students for will not be in science or engineering?

I’m not being snarky or sarcastic here. I’d genuinely like to know. I don’t see the connections between the problems and the solutions.

9 comments… add one
  • jimbino Link

    Right. I don’t know how many degrees in STEM are won by women, who make up over half the population and well over half the college student population. I know that in 40 years of STEM work in Germany, Britain and the USA, I worked with or for only about 5 women.

    Obama should sell off the national parks and forests, since Black, Native and Hispanic Amerikans never visit them. (Except for Obama’s family itself)

  • Michael reynolds Link

    Easy. Obama is a conservative who needs to be re-elected by a liberal base.

    You asked the other day why his stimulus bills are so modest. Because he doesn’t believe he really has the power to move the economy in any major way. He thinks about all he can do is soften the impact. So he takes modest ameliorating steps and hypes them to get votes.

  • I’m not sure that “conservative” describes Obama’s positions. Moderate, pragmatic don’t quite do it either.

    Nixonian centrist isn’t far off (I think that characterizes a lot of presidents).

    But if it’s the case, I have two problems with that, Michael. The first is that I think a lot of our problems are the natural outcome of lousy healthcare, education, fiscal, financial, immigration, and trade policies. Those most definitely affect the economy and IMO we’ll continue to circle around the drain until we start changing them in better directions.

    The other is that for the life of me I can’t paint a coherent picture of the economy from the hints that the president is dropping.

  • michael reynolds Link

    Well, “conservative” has become a sort of catch-all that’s caught all manner of things. He’s certainly to the right of his base.

    You say you want a revolution? Well, you know, Obama’s not the guy. He’s a conventional thinker. I think he’s smart and dutiful and honestly tries to do the right thing. But is he a guy who breaks molds and shatters paradigms and all that? No. He’s an incrementalist. Hence the ACA which moves the ball 5 yards, achieves the first down of establishing health care as a right, but revolutionizes nothing. Obama’s the kid who at Christmas only asks his mom for what he knows she can afford. He wants a new bike, but asks for a bike helmet. We need a hail Mary pass and we’re getting a ground game.

    What’s scary is that there is no one on the political horizon who is that mold-breaker. Obama or Romney? They might as well be the same guy. One’s black, one’s white, but they’ll both do what Goldman Sachs tells them to do. (And god knows they’ll have the same foreign policy.) Perry would just be that minus 25 IQ points, plus extra hate-mongering.

    The only thing scarier is realizing that we’re at the point of needing a great leader, a paradigm-shifter, a fuhrer if I may. Any time you need a great leader you’re already fu–ed.

    In any event, I’m not sure American politics is capable of generating an original thinker. I’ll tell you the truth: the only thing that insulates me from the sort of despair I think you’re feeling is that I’m rootless and can always pick up and flee to some place with beaches and a weak currency.

    The parties want to fight over everything but the serious, long-term problems — abortion, gay rights, immigration, Iraq, Mormonism, the latest gaffe. Whatever. And I have fun with it because it’s my version of sports. But I feel like it’s 1938. Not in the sense of Nazis and Commies, oh my, but in the sense that something wicked this way comes.

    I want to be optimistic. I have kids and that imposes a degree of optimism on you. I’m optimistic by nature, but a big part of that optimism is the sense that I’m not the Jew who decides to stick it out in 1938, I’m the Jew who keeps his passport up to date.

    I suspect Obama will go down in history as the man who missed the moment. Smart, capable, decent, all that. But not Roosevelt or Lincoln or even Polk.

    Tomorrow I’ll recover my optimism. Right now I’m in a hotel drinking the mini-bar.

  • samwide Link

    @Michael
    Obama is a conservative who needs to be re-elected by a liberal base.
    @ Dave
    Nixonian centrist isn’t far off

    Here’s Bradford Berenson on Obama at the law school (Frontline, Harvard Law Days:

    Just in a political sense, what kind of a person were you looking for [to serve as president[of the Law Review]]? …

    The block of conservatives on the Law Review my year I think was eager to avoid having any of the most political people on the left govern the Review. I mean, the first bedrock criterion, I think for almost all of the editors, was to have somebody with an absolutely first-rate legal mind who would be able to engage competently with the nation’s top legal scholars on their scholarship and on these articles, and who would provide the intellectual leadership for the Review that it always needed. That was non-negotiable for almost everybody right or left.

    But there were a number of people that would have met that criterion. There were at least a large handful who probably had the intellectual and personal characteristics to be good leaders of the Review. From among those, the conservatives were eager to have somebody who would treat them fairly, who would listen to what they had to say, who would not abuse the powers of the office to favor his ideological soul mates and punish those who had different views. Somebody who would basically play it straight, I think was really what we were looking for.

    Was that hard to find?

    It was very hard to find. And ultimately, the conservatives on the Review supported Barack as president in the final rounds of balloting because he fit that bill far better than the other people who were running. …

    We had all worked with him over the course of a year. And we had all spent countless hours in the presence of Barack, as well as others of our colleagues who were running, in Gannett House [the Law Review offices], and so you get a pretty good sense of people over the course of a year of late nights working on the Review. You know who the rabble-rousers are. You know who the people are who are blinded by their politics. And you know who the people are who, despite their politics, can reach across and be friendly to and make friends with folks who have different views. And Barack very much fell into the latter category. …

    [After Obama is selected,] he does a very able job as president. Puts out what I think was a very good volume of the Review. Does a great job managing the difficult and complicated interpersonal dynamics on the Review. And manages somehow, in an extremely fractious group, to keep everybody almost happy.

    Some of the people who are not as happy as others, I think much to their surprise, are some of the African American people who believe that now it’s their turn.

    Absolutely right, absolutely right. I think Barack took 10 times as much grief from those on the left on the Review as from those of us on the right. And the reason was, I think there was an expectation among those editors on the left that he would affirmatively use the modest powers of his position to advance the cause, whatever that was. They thought, you know, finally there’s an African American president of the Harvard Law Review; it’s our turn, and he should aggressively use this position, and his authority and his bully pulpit to advance the political or philosophical causes that we all believe in.

    And Barack was reluctant to do that. It’s not that he was out of sympathy with their views, but his first and foremost goal, it always seemed to me, was to put out a first-rate publication. And he was not going to let politics or ideology get in the way of doing that. …

    He had some discretion as president to exercise an element of choice for certain of the positions on the masthead; it wasn’t wide discretion, but he had some. And I think a lot of the minority editors on the Review expected him to use that discretion to the maximum extent possible to empower them. To put them in leadership positions, to burnish their resumes, and to give them a chance to help him and help guide the Review. He didn’t do that. He declined to exercise that discretion to disrupt the results of votes or of tests that were taken by various people to assess their fitness for leadership positions.

    He was unwilling to undermine, based on the way I viewed it, meritocratic outcomes or democratic outcomes in order to advance a racial agenda. That earned him a lot of recrimination and criticism from some on the left, particularly some of the minority editors of the Review. …

    It confirmed the hope that I and others had had at the time of the election that he would basically be an honest broker, that he would not let ideology or politics blind him to the enduring institutional interests of the Review. It told me that he valued the success of his own presidency of the Review above scoring political points of currying favor with his political supporters.

    His instincts are, and always have been, invariably centrist and conciliatory. I don’t think those instincts are out of step with the electorate at large. Congress? Pretty much out of step.

  • Icepick Link

    We knew at the outset of my presidency that the economic calamity we faced wasn’t caused overnight and wasn’t going to be solved overnight.

    Wait, I thought the story line now was that they DIDN’T know how bad things were when he was elected.

  • My understanding of the story was that they were absolutely positively sure they got the numerator right but they now realize they got the denominator wrong.

  • Icepick Link

    So it wasn’t calamity, it was 2*Calamity. Got it.

    Is that anything like double-secret probation?

  • Icepick Link

    Also?

    My understanding of the story was that they were absolutely positively sure they got the numerator right but they now realize they got the denominator wrong.

    Funny stuff!

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