On Tuesday Chicagoans will go to the polls to vote for the first round of mayoral and aldermanic candidates. If no mayoral candidate receives an outright majority tomorrow, the top two candidates will have a run-off in a couple of weeks.
Here’s what I think the outcome is likely to be:
| Emanuel | >45% |
| Chico | 20% |
| Moseley Braun | 15% |
| Del Valle | <10% |
| Walls | <5% |
| Van Pelt-Watkins | <5% |
| Hawkins | <1% |
or, in summary, Emanuel will receive a plurality but not enough to avoid a run-off with Chico.
This kind of thing didn’t happen in the good old days when the dead still had the vote in Chicago.
Heh…
Still I wonder how things change in a simple two way vote. Are there any polls that look at just Chico and Emanuel ignoring all other candidates?
It was very slow at my precinct this A.M.
We’ve got about six mayoral candidates that each could get between 10-20 percent of the vote. The top four will go on to the general election; I think voters would just assume wait.
This is a very bad setup. I predict that the runoff will pit three good candidates, and a fourth bad candidate, who will likely win the runoff with 30 percent of the vote.
Oh come, oh come, Ema-a-anuel . . .