I stayed up late last night—all the way to 10:00pm. At that point many of the important races had not been decided. I awoke to something which while still not technically a wave was pretty close to it, especially from the point of view of the Senate. I think that USA Today’s presentation of the data is a good one.
Several races surprised me. I didn’t see that horserace in Virginia coming and I suspect that the Democratic Senate re-election committee didn’t, either. As of this moment Warner is holding on by a hair. It’s definitely recount territory.
For the Senate elections to my mind the real story is how were so many polls so wrong? There were many races that were supposed to be closer that weren’t really close at all (Kentucky, Georgia, Kansas). What was going on there? Was the desire for a horserace story so overwhelming?
Here in Illinois Republican Bruce Rauner has been elected governor but incumbent Pat Quinn isn’t conceding:
Multimillionaire Republican Bruce Rauner proclaimed victory and “a new direction” as Illinois’ next governor Tuesday night, even as Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn refused to concede defeat.
“This is a historic time in Illinois,” Rauner told cheering supporters. “The voters have spoken. The voters have asked for divided government for the first time in many years.”
But a defiant Quinn declared, “I don’t believe in throwing in the towel” with votes uncounted.
“We will never, ever yield to a result until all the votes are in,” Quinn said, suggesting a complete count could take days
As I read the Illinois recount laws the results won’t be within the margin for a legitimate challenge and a judge would be wrong in granting a statewide recount but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if there were court challenges and there was a recount. I’m having a flashback to 2000 except without the reasonable doubt.