When Moore’s Law Fails

Moore’s Law, a rule of thumb about the increase in density of transistors on an integrated circuit over time, prevailed for decades but has now, effectively, come to an end. This article at Small Wars Journal considers strategies by which the military can address the problems produced by the end of Moore’s law:

This paper reviews ways to extend semiconductor technology in the near term, as well as technologies which have been sidelined, but are worth revisiting as a means of sidestepping the limitations of semiconductor technology. Technology recommendations will be put forth as lead, shape, or watch. The Army should lead core technologies when it is imperative and, when only the Army will or can lead, shape other technologies by leveraging industrial and academic work to meet Army specific applications and watch developing technology trends which may impact the Army mission. The following sections expand on technology areas that will have the potential to overcome the end of Moore’s Law.

but it applies to the private sector as well. #1 on the list? Better software. That’s a major problem. Today’s software developers don’t have the skills necessary to produce better software and may not have the ability. The emphasis over the last 30 years has been on portability, speed of development, user interface and the ability to produce software using programmers with lower levels of skill.

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