State of the Union, 2018

At my wife’s insistence we watched the 2018 State of the Union message last night. It had the usual recitations of accomplishments. There was also the wish list we’ve become accustomed to hearing. Is it my imagination or were there more than the typical number of call-outs?

I don’t care for President Trump’s prosody or diction, e.g. stacking modifiers “very”, “beautiful”, but I thought it was okay as these messages go. Neither a hit nor a flop.

If you were looking for division, you found it and I’m confident the opinion pages will be full of emotional condemnations of the president’s divisive SOTU. If you were looking for unity, you found that, too. What’s the opposite of a “dog whistle”? Deafness that only the hyper-focused recognize? I’m also quite confident that Mr. Trump’s supporters will proclaim it the best SOTU ever.

I think that highlights that the gap between our differing views is real, not just posturing, and will be hard if not impossible to bridge. The 50%+1 style of governance isn’t working and won’t be improved by changing who’s in charge.

I don’t think the Democrats did themselves much good last night by maintaining their sullen, taciturn demeanor. They may have thought it was resolute but I thought it was churlish. As me auld mither used to say it’s not the man it’s the cloth.

Update

The editors’ of the New York Times response was more balanced than I expected. After reciting a list of the benign things that have happened in the last year, they follow up with their complaints:

Despite promising a $1 trillion infrastructure plan a year ago, a phantom plan whose price tag he raised to $1.5 trillion on Tuesday, he has yet to do anything to fix rusting bridges and faltering rail lines. His tax plan will undermine local efforts to make improvements around the country. He has yet to take serious action to end the opioid crisis. (“We have to do something about it,” he said Tuesday night, rather pathetically.) He has rubbed raw the nation’s wounds of bigotry and sexism. Without study or discernment, he has stripped away regulations meant to restrain climate change and to protect consumers. He seems utterly indifferent to improving an education system that is the foundation of the global competitiveness he insists he cares so much about. He’s deepened America’s commitment to Afghanistan with no exit strategy, and he’s raised tensions in the Middle East to no clear end. By gratuitously alienating allies and upending trade deals, he has eased the way for China’s hegemony.

I haven’t bothered to reproduce the many hyperlinks in the quote above. There are a dozen of them. They do bring up one question to my mind—are good intentions enough?

he has stripped away regulations meant to restrain climate change and to protect consumers.

Their study and discernment doesn’t seem to have reached as far as measuring the actual net effects of the regulations. We need to start reckoning the value of policies against what has happened rather than against what their proponents wanted to happen.

E. J. Dionne’s column was about what I would have expected. Here’s an example of the divisiveness he complains about:

“All Americans deserve accountability and respect. And that’s what we are giving to our wonderful heroes our veterans,” Trump said. “So tonight, I call on Congress to empower every Cabinet secretary with the authority to reward good workers and to remove federal employees who undermine the public trust or fail the American people.”

This sounded like an attack on the entire civil service system. It sounded like a demand by Trump that he and those who work for him have the right to fire federal employees whenever he or they feel like it. Perhaps this idea will come with safeguards, perhaps not. Trump didn’t say.

I guess I’m tone deaf. It didn’t sound like that to me. It sounded like a call for long overdue civil service reform. Is that inherently divisive?

Dana Milbank’s reaction was even sharper:

When he said “we proudly stand for the national anthem” — a reference to black NFL players who have protested by taking a knee — there was a lusty roar from the GOP side and wan looks from Democrats. Trump applauded the cheering Republicans.

which I found to be weak tea. This is more to the point:

He drew Democrats’ heckling by alleging that “a single immigrant can bring in virtually unlimited numbers of distant relatives.” Trump, in the context of immigrant violence, even tried to make off with the “dreamer” label applied to young undocumented immigrants brought to the United States as children. He said his duty is to “defend Americans, to protect their safety. . . . Because Americans are dreamers too.” By implication: The “dreamers” are not American.

quoting what will undoubtedly be seen as the most memorable line in the speech. Is that divisive or a case of where you stand depends on where you sit?

The editors of the Washington Post cited divisiveness as well:

HAVE A president’s words ever rung more hollow? In his first State of the Union address Tuesday night, President Trump spoke of “what kind of nation we are going to be. All of us, together, as one team, one people and one American family.” Yet Mr. Trump could not avoid, even for an hour, lacing his address with divisive references to hot-button issues and graceless attacks on his predecessors: to “disastrous Obamacare,” “the mistakes of past administrations,” “the era of economic surrender” and more.

The editors of the Wall Street Journal strike a note closer to what I heard:

Democrats want to legalize the young adult Dreamer immigrants, spend money on roads and bridges, and give ex-cons a second chance at a better life. More dangerously for the economy, more Democrats than Republicans share Mr. Trump’s protectionist views on trade, which we were glad to see him play down on Tuesday night.

Mr. Trump’s immigration message was a mix of rhetorical edginess with policy compromise. He spent far too much time flogging immigration as an issue of crime rather than highlighting the many contributions that newcomers make. He also included a gratuitous gibe that “Americans are Dreamers too,” which will insult more people than it persuades. This rhetoric may have been intended to placate supporters who are nervous about Mr. Trump’s willingness to negotiate with Democrats, but he missed a chance to seem more big-hearted.

On the other hand, Mr. Trump’s legislative offer last week is a bid for compromise between left and right that includes a path to citizenship for 1.8 million Dreamers who were brought to the U.S. as children. That’s far more than the 700,000 or so that applied for work permits under Barack Obama’s illegal order—and far more than GOP restrictionists want.

Did the Democrats already signal their response? If compromise is betrayal and you won’t accept anything you want unless you get everything you want, it’s the end of republican government.

16 comments… add one
  • Guarneri Link

    I think that’s a fair commentary. I think you overstate the notion that supporters will declare it best ever.

    *. It was too long

    * yes, I thought the shoutouts were high in number. Further, all laudable people or accomplishments, but, personally, not the place for a report to the nation methinks. Theatre.

    *. The Dems went beyond loyal opposition. Petty and divisive.

    *. With an acknowledgement that it is his administration so he’s going to stand behind his view, and he won (to coin a phrase) it was heavier on we than, say, his always self congratulatory predecessor.

    *. And, because the oppositional press has become the most execrable crew around, I have to note about their sage pre-speech observations…….no, he didn’t pass by not drooling.

    Kennedy got high marks. However, I’m told he’s 37. If I closed my eyes and just listened I’d say his response was what I’d expect from an idealistic 17 year old speaking as class president. I found it platitudinous and just this side of unwatchable. Call me in 10 years.

    1. I think that opposition responses to the SOTU are wrong.
    2. I don’t listen to them and it was already past my bedtime.
    3. Couldn’t they find any Democrats who weren’t the beneficiaries of inherited wealth? I thought that picking him was tone deaf.
    4. Were they trying to sabotage the poor guy? Giving the opposition response to the SOTU is one of the crummiest jobs in politics.
  • Guarneri Link

    Heh. 1,3 – yes. But he’s pretty and fits current political fetishes for name power.

    2. Try insomnia some time.

    4. I think he might have been wise to pass. The delivery and look were OK. Hey, he didn’t reach for a glass of water, as one wag noted. It was Obamaesque stagecraft, 10 years too soon. And therefore over affected. But the content was awful. Red meat and historical themes are fine. Banality is something else. Maybe an off night. But I bet the press will slobber.

  • Part of my strategy for fighting insomnia, something that’s troubled me for years, is maintaining an extremely strict schedule. I try to go to bed at the same time every night; I try to rise at the same time every morning. Lately my sleep schedule has been disrupted so I take melatonin over the weekend to try to get myself back in sync.

  • Guarneri Link

    I’m not that disciplined. Probably also due to the fact that the transactions business doesn’t know what a clock is.

    Gotta go. Have a good day.

  • steve Link

    “it was heavier on we than, say, his always self congratulatory predecessor.”

    Amazing how this persists. Obama used I at about an average rate for a president. Has been parsed out many times.

    “Couldn’t they find any Democrats who weren’t the beneficiaries of inherited wealth?”

    Since that is also true of Trump, have they just decided that is what the public wants? Or they don’t care?

    Didn’t watch it, but clips this morning looked to me like the Democrats sat unresponsive much like Republicans did in the past. It didn’t seem to hurt the GOP’s electoral efforts. Anyway, on the drive in this morning it seemed like the responses were fairly predictable. Great speech according to the right and awful speech according to the left. I assume it was just mediocre like most of these things.

    Steve

  • The overnight polls that I’ve seen suggest that almost two-thirds of those who watched responded favorably to the SOTU, either very favorably or slightly favorably. If the Democrats intend to reach beyond their base, they will probably need to adopt a different strategy.

    I would say my own reaction was neutral or at best slightly favorable. Note that your defenses of the Democrats are barely defenses at all. They’re basically acknowledgements of tone-deafness.

  • PD Shaw Link

    @steve, re: inherited wealth, part of the job of the opposition party is about drawing contrasts.

    Perhaps Dave and I are more sensitive because we have a Republican billionaire governor, who the Democrats appear to be prepared to challenge with their own billionaire, when I think the more optimal choice would be one that pushes the notion that being able to make a lot of money doesn’t make one a good governor. And if the Ds choose someone else it’s likely to be Bobby Kennedy’s son, who is the beneficiary of enough trust funds to fill one-third of a newspaper page.

  • Modulo Myself Link

    The Democrats were willing to fund Trump’s dumb wall in exchange for DACA. That was a major concession, and the Republicans fell apart.

  • Andy Link

    I didn’t watch it – went to bed early in order to watch the full lunar eclipse this morning. It was pretty amazing but not as awe-inspiring as a full solar eclipse.

    Reading reactions today I’m a bit disappointed that Trump went with the standard format. I was hoping for something unconventional, oh well.

    I forget who said it, but someone on Twitter stated that this speech will be forgotten as soon as the next controversial Trump tweet drops. The news cycle must be fed and the newsies can’t resist the shiny of a Trump tweet.

  • Andy Link

    One thing that sucks about the response speech is that it’s not really a response since it’s written and practiced before the SOTU. It really should be called something else.

  • steve Link

    Andy- I think someone said that teleprompter Trump would be rapidly eclipsed by Tweeter Trump. To be fair, who really remembers SOTU speeches?

    Steve

  • steve Link

    ” They’re basically acknowledgements of tone-deafness.”

    Really? People actually went through Obama’s speeches and counted the number of times he said I, then compared it with other presidents. He was average. Why is it tone deaf to point that out. It seems much more like you have bought into the GOP big lie on this issue. They have repeated it so often you believe it.

    Steve

  • I didn’t mention narcissism, the issue you’re perseverating on. That doesn’t interest me one way or another. I don’t think I’ve talked about it once in a post here. I’m talking about how determinedly the Democrats sat on their hands. They should have applauded things they like (low black unemployment rates) but not things they don’t like (limiting chain migration). Who cares who gets the credit? Care about the result.

    It’s just more of the “politics as war” baloney. Being steadfastly against everything Trump may play well to some segments of the base but two-thirds of the country isn’t the base. I want the Democrats to change and embrace “the deplorables” not write them off. Doubling down is a ticket to oblivion.

  • Modulo Myself Link

    Dave,
    Trump is incredibly unpopular and even against a terrible candidate he lost the popular vote. If the Democrats disappear into oblivion, it will be replaced by a funnier, harder, and more leftist party that’s not going to be taken in by dumbass moderates, and which will probably do better at a state level. A likely scenario for the Democrats is that after four years of Trump they end up with control of everything and they don’t do what Obama did, which was to bail out the bankers and ignore the war crimes. They go after GOP money, and the culprits behind whatever wreckage Trump has left. I guarantee that the ‘deplorables’ will be far more inclined to vote for a Democrat when they haul the anonymous rich idiot who gave 17 million to the group that spent 7 million to keep Scalia’s seat open into prison.

  • Guarneri Link

    Having a bad day, Modulo?

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