Reopening Schools

I’m gratified to see Alex Berezow making some of the same points that I have made in a recent piece of his at the American Council on Science and Health:

There are three different population groups whose safety we must worry about: School kids, faculty and staff, and children’s families back home. They each face a different set of risks, some of which are in direct conflict with each other. Let’s consider the students, first.

The threat that the coronavirus poses to children and young adults is not zero, but it’s extremely small.

continuing:

From the students’ perspective, the benefits of a school closure are minimal. The negative consequences, however, are considerable. Young children need to play with others, and older children need to learn. They all need to socialize. Preventing this will delay their development and education. For these reasons, The Economist endorses opening schools first as lockdowns ease because “[t]he costs of keeping them closed are too high.”

The calculation changes when we consider the risks to teachers, staff, and students’ families, who obviously are in older age demographics.

and concluding:

Regardless of how one looks at the data, they all point in the same direction: COVID-19 poses a very minor threat to students. The threat of reopening schools, therefore, is the health of teachers, faculty, and childrens’ families. Measures should be aimed at protecting those populations.

I think that there should be individualized assessments of children’s needs. Some kids may even be benefiting from the suspension of in-person education. For others it may make no difference. Both of those groups should be allowed to continue with online education. But for still others the lack of structure and in-person education may result in permanent deficits and I would hazard a guess that the kids most at risk are those with the greatest needs. A way should be found for those students to receive the education they need.

The Chicago Teachers’ Union is, characteristically, taking a less nuanced stance, as the Sun-Times reports:

As schools face the immense challenge of protecting their students, teachers and staff members during the coronavirus pandemic, the Chicago Teachers Union is urging the district to start school in the fall with remote learning.

“We stand for a safe and equitable reopening of the schools, but today COVID-19 cases are soaring instead of dissipating,” CTU President Jesse Sharkey was quoted as saying in the news release Wednesday. “There is simply no way to guarantee safety for in-school learning during an out-of-control pandemic — and that means we must revert to remote learning until the spread of this virus is contained.”

Who will be harmed the most under their plan? Mostly black and Hispanic kids and kids with special needs.

8 comments… add one
  • steve Link

    This is a tough one. I sat and chatted with some of my nurses for while. If you knew that only 10 kids would die in the state, would you want to risk your kid being one of those 10? Glad I dont have to make the decision and glad my kids are older.

    Steve

  • jan Link

    Here in CA, zero children under the age of 18 have died from COVID. It was a different case with influenza where over 5% of total deaths were children. Regarding children under 16 in the U.S., 30 children under the age of 16 have died with COVID, not necessarily from COVID.

  • CStanley Link

    Agree with your comments about some kids doing fine or even benefitting from online school while others need to get back in the classroom. It’s a tough call as a parent and we’re trying to weigh risks and benefits for our rising 5th grader. Her Catholic school has a reopening plan giving us the choice, although most parents suspect that the Archdiocese is going to decide to go along with the counties which have just decided to do all online school for fall semester.

    Another big factor weighing on parents is the need for many to return to work. It’s a wicked problem.

  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    Having millions of kids have blighted lives because they were not educated could be a far worse outcome then the consequences of having schools open.

    As mentioned; the burden of schools closing is borne by the most vulnerable —- kids younger then 8; kids whose parents don’t have the skills or the time to be a substitute teaching assistant, etc.

    The problem as I see it is what if a vaccine is more then a year away; or never comes? Then we scrap public education forever? If the answer is no; then why wait to restore as much of the educational system now? The damage from missing education is a quadratic / exponential process.

  • steve Link

    Again, why do we look only at deaths? If a kid becomes a permanent pulmonary cripple that is a good outcome because they lived? Kids have to go back to school sometime, but lets be honest about the risks. Conservatives just want to ignore other health issues. Lets remember that there are consequences besides death and be honest about the risks. If we dont know then say so.

    Steve

  • Kids have to go back to school sometime, but lets be honest about the risks.

    I agree that at least some kids must go back to school sometime. If the assumptions that are being made as prerequisites for reopening include the presence of a safe, effective vaccine against the virus, that should be stated.

    Kicking the can down the road has costs, too.

    What is the prevalence of the severe pulmonary effects in children you’re warning about? I suspect they are a) unknown and/or b) rare. If the possibility of rare effects were the standard, wouldn’t we close all schools permanently? Don’t all vaccines have rare effects? Those are administered routinely anyway. Some are even required for admission to school.

  • CuriousOnlooker Link

    I am not ignoring health issues; but I am not ignoring the health issues from missing school either.

    Quite frankly; I think schools should be more aggressive in planning that the pandemic may be an endemic situation for several years.

    It is also quite reasonable if school boards asks parents and teachers to share the burden of responsibility —- I.e both sides take extra care and measures to prevent infection outside of school. i.e the families and teacher have to form a “bubble” and practice social distancing with anyone outside the bubble.

  • CStanley Link

    What is the prevalence of the severe pulmonary effects in children you’re warning about?
    I sure wish that this information was available. And for that matter the prevalence of long term effects in adults too.

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