In a press conference during his visit to the United Kingdom President Trump said something that was, at the very least, provocative. Alex Gangitano reports at The Hill:
President Trump said he is aiming to regain control of Bagram Air Base, which has been under Taliban control since U.S. forces withdrew from Afghanistan in 2021.
“We gave it to them for nothing. We’re trying to get it back, by the way. That could be a little breaking news, we’re trying to get it back because they need things from us,” Trump said Thursday of the base.
“We want that base back but one of the reasons we want the base is, as you know, it’s an hour away from where China makes its nuclear weapons,” he added.
I think this is an excellent example of how just because something your predecessor did was stupid does not necessarily mean that doing the opposite is smart.
Bagram Air Base, built by the Soviets, came under the control of the U. S. in 2001 during the U. S. invasion of Afghanistan. The U. S. held it until President Biden withdrew U. S. forces from Afghanistan in 2021.
My own view is that invading Afghanistan was stupid (a punitive action would have been smart) so occupation of Bagram was stupid. That didn’t make President Biden’s withdrawal smart. The invasion of Afghanistan was already a sunk cost by that time as, arguably, were the ongoing costs of the continued occupation. Withdrawal was stupid—it threw away any benefits realized by the invasion and occupation including improvements in the education of Afghan women for no apparent strategic purpose.
Why would U. S. reoccupation of Bagram (assuming the Taliban approves of such a thing) be smart? It would not only be a foothold; it would be a target.
There is a reference to Greek mythology which describes it neatly: piling Pelion on Ossa meaning performing a difficult and, ultimately, futile task. Does President Trump actually believe we could reoccupy Bagram at a low cost and without ongoing daily danger to our troops? Does he not think that the Chinese would find it provocative?







