I found Carly Olson’s piece in the LA Times a study in conflicts. While I agree with her that not enough good jobs are being created by the U. S. economy:
A labor shortage implies there aren’t enough available workers to fill open jobs, but this is not the case nationally, or in California. National unemployment in June was 5.9%, up from 5.8% in May, in part because the number of people looking for jobs grew, according to data from the Labor Department on Friday. California’s unemployment is tracking higher, at 7.9% in May.
Millions of Americans are seeking work, and the Labor Department is reporting the highest number of advertised job openings in 20 years of data. Friday’s jobs report indicated the hiring crunch might be starting to ease: U.S. employers added 850,000 jobs in June, the biggest gain in 10 months.
Economists say it’s only a matter of time before open roles are filled, and the least desirable jobs with the lowest pay and benefits will be the last to go. They don’t see the job market as a sign of shifting economic forces unleashed by the pandemic, or of a workforce made comfortable or lazy by stimulus payments.
“Nothing about this is going to be permanent,†said Heidi Shierholz, a senior economist at the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute.
Yet some trends are emerging clearly. The struggle to fill jobs is hitting smaller businesses disproportionately. Workers may be in a prime position to secure better conditions and pay, but without changes at the federal level, economists said the gains will be short-lived — and white-collar workers may gain the most, entrenching inequality.
Nearly all the jobs she mentions are in the hospitality sector. How does she expect jobs with practically no qualifications and zero cost of entry to be “good jobs”?
I think there’s a kernel of truth in the “skills mismatch” hypothesis and I think it’s even more true that the the jobs on offer aren’t necessarily where the workers are. There’s enormous variance across the country in unemployment—well into double digits in some places in California while in the low single digits in Utah, Idaho, and elsewhere.
But the fast food jobs she cites have a special problem. The entire sector grew up in response to an enormous spike in the number of entry-level workers entering the market in the 1960s and it’s been dependent on entry-level workers ever since. 60 years ago those entry-level workers were Baby Boomers who had just entered their teens. Now they are largely immigrants.







