Nothing Like Us Ever Was

How racially tolerant are the Millennials? Contrary to popular belief and what they themselves believe, not particularly says Sean McElwee at New York:

When it comes to certain surface-level statistics, it’s true that millennials as a group are more racially progressive than their parents. Pew data show they are more likely to support interracial marriage and dating and are more in favor of immigration. Nearly all agree that “everyone should be treated equally, regardless of their race.”

Dig just a few inches deeper, though, and there’s plenty of fodder for pessimism. Just ask Spencer Piston, an assistant professor of political science at Syracuse University. He examined the 2012 American National Election Studies racial stereotype battery, in which survey respondents are asked to rate whites, African-American, Hispanics, and Asians according to how hard-working or intelligent they are, and found something startling: Younger (under-30) whites are just as likely as older ones to view whites as more intelligent and harder-working than African-Americans (among the older cohort, 64 percent felt this way, and among the younger cohort the number was 61 percent — not a statistically significant difference). “White millennials appear to be no less prejudiced than the rest of the white population,” Piston told Science of Us in an email, “at least using this dataset and this measure of prejudice.”

Enormous progress has been made over the last half century but there’s still a long way to go.

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Who Has Anti-Blasphemy Laws?

Fareed Zakaria notes that the Qur’an does not mention blasphemy but

Somebody forgot to tell the terrorists. But the gruesome and bloody belief the jihadis have adopted is all too common in the Muslim world, even among so-called moderate Muslims — that blasphemy and apostasy are grievous crimes against Islam and should be punished fiercely. Many Muslim-majority countries have laws against blasphemy and apostasy — and in some places, they are enforced.

That impelled me to wonder what countries had anti-blasphemy laws?

As it turns out many countries do and the countries that do aren’t just in the Middle East and North Africa. 31% of the countries in the Americas have anti-blasphemy laws and 16% of European countries do including Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Italy, Germany, and Greece.

Some U. S. states have anti-blasphemy laws, e.g. Masschusetts and Michigan, which are unenforceable due to the First Amendment.

I’m not sure what the point of this post is other than that France and the United States may be the exceptions rather than the rule in this area.

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Expurgated or Not Expurgated?

Jim Treacher has apparently caught a rather mysterious editing of one of its articles on the murders at Charlie Hebdo:

When Islamic terrorists expressly tell their victims why they’re being attacked, our mainstream media will do anything to cover it up. They’ll change the subject, they’ll blame the victims… they’ll even stealth-edit* their own copy.
Here’s the latest example of the New York Times censoring itself to avoid offending Muslims after an act of Islamic terror…

In response Joseph Cannon does what appears to me to be a solid job of the tracing the quote in question through French language sources. Here’s his conclusion:

I think that, in the direct aftermath of the event, Vinson gave slightly differing accounts. One can hardly blame her for being frazzled. She may have given a third variant at a later time, and this third variant may be the one published by the New York Times.

That said: I can find no French-language report which agrees with the later NYT story. Google gives us no trace of a French-language account in which the terrorist tells Vinson to calm down and not to be afraid. Times writer Liz Alderman may have acquired her information from a later radio or television interview of Vinson.

If Alderman did alter her original report in a material way, the NYT should should so stipulate.

To Mr. Cannon’s analysis I would add that there’s one legitimate reason the NYT might have removed the portion of the quote in question: if the editors had found that it was not relevant to the story. Was the detail of the terrorist demanding that the woman he frightened into opening the security door at Charlie Hebdo for him that she “convert to Islam, read the Quran and cover yourself” relevant or not? I think it was but I agree with Mr. Cannon that it is a venial sin, one of many committed by the Grey Lady.

Extending Mr. Cannon’s metaphor a bit, one of the reasons that venial sins are worth confessing is that a pattern of venial sins may lead you into mortal sin. What journalistic mortal sin could the NYT’s pattern of venial sin lead it to?

Hat tip: memeorandum

Update

Commenter upyernoz notes that the quote was revised for accuracy and elaborates on that here:

There is Treacher’s answer. That’s why the earlier version of the article included the quote and the later one didn’t. In the interim the Times contacted the witness themselves and she told them the quote was not accurate. That’s not “airbrushing it out” an “inconvenient truth” that’s revising a story to improve its accuracy.

Update 2

A quick check of the Wayback Machine found that at one point the article cited by Mr. Treacher did not include the explanation cited by upyernoz. The Times, too, apparently found that the edit required some explanation.

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TANSTAAFL

If you genuinely believe that a college education is the key to a secure economic future, as President Obama clearly does, his latest proposal is a good first step:

Today, the President unveiled a new proposal: Make two years of community college free for responsible students across America.

In our growing global economy, Americans need to have more knowledge and more skills to compete — by 2020, an estimated 35 percent of job openings will require at least a bachelor’s degree, and 30 percent will require some college or an associate’s degree. Students should be able to get the knowledge and the skills they need without taking on decades’ worth of student debt.

Hat tip: memeorandum

If, on the other hand, you believe as I do that the president is mistaken and the key to a secure economic future is more jobs that pay better wages the president’s plan is a misuse of funds. There are some sectors in which what the president believes is true. For example, in many government jobs there are tier and lane pay systems in which the degrees or college credits you have, the higher your pay. But that’s not true for most of the economy and it is most especially not true for the jobs that have been created during the Obama presidency. A burger-flipper with a PhD will be paid the same as one that hasn’t graduated from high school. The money being spent would be much better devoted to technical training and apprenticeship programs, things to which other developed countries devote far more attention than we do.

However, let’s consider the press release a little more closely. The only way the program would be free would be for the teachers and staff of these community colleges to donate their time. Otherwise somebody else will pay for it either via tax dollars or whatever consequences there might be for the federal government simply to extend its own credit as has been the case for between half and a third of federal spending for some time now.

I have no objection to free education or free healthcare for that matter and I believe that professionals, e.g. physicians, lawyers, college professors, have an ethical obligation to donate at least some of their professional efforts to the needy.

However, referring to something that’s paid for by somebody else as “free” is a debasement of language. Let’s call it what it would be: a gift or a benefit or a subsidy. Or just call it being on the dole.

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The Council Has Spoken!

The Watcher’s Council has announced its winners for last week.

Council Winners

Non-Council Winners

The announcement post at the Watcher’s site is here.

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The Eye of the Beholder

On the one hand:

Obama visited a Ford plant in Wayne, Michigan to kick off a three-state tour ahead of his State of the Union Address later this month.

The president highlighted his administration’s efforts in the wake of the recession, saying “America’s resurgence is real.”

“Plants like this one built more than cars,” Obama said. “They built the middle class in this country and that’s worth fighting for.”

but on the other:

Alliance for American Manufacturing President Scott Paul said the president’s visit comes amid “the strongest period of manufacturing job growth since the early 1990s.”

“But the administration fails to mention that we’ve only recovered one-third of the good-paying manufacturing jobs that were destroyed in the recession,” Paul said. “We still have a long way to go.”

That reminds me of a wisecrack of Reagan’s: a recession is when your neighbor loses his job; depression is when you lose yours.

The DC environs has fared pretty well over the last eight years. No wonder things look rosier from there.

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The Aftermath of the Cartoonists’ Murders in France

There is a door-to-door manhunt seeking the murderers of the cartoonists’ and editorial staff of Charlie Hebdo being conducted in the north of France:

PARIS — Thousands of heavily armed French police conducted house-to-house searches Thursday in a heavily forested area north of Paris where two suspects wanted for the terrorist killings at a satirical newspaper were reported seen and may have robbed a gas station.

Prime Minister Manuel Valls put the Picardy region, which stretches to the English Channel, on the highest alert level, on par with the alert in effect for the entire Ile-de-France region that includes Paris.

France’s Interior Ministry said 88,000 people have been deployed in the massive manhunt for Said Kouachi, 34, and Cherif Kouachi, 32, who are suspected of killing 12 people in the assault on the offices of the satirical newspaper Charlie Hebdo.

The New York Times, Washington Post, and Wall Street Journal have all produced editorials on the murders.

New York Times:

There are some who will say that Charlie Hebdo tempted the ire of Islamists one too many times, as if coldblooded murder is the price to pay for putting out a magazine. The massacre was motivated by hate. It is absurd to suggest that the way to avoid terrorist attacks is to let the terrorists dictate standards in a democracy.

This is also no time for peddlers of xenophobia to try to smear all Muslims with a terrorist brush. It is a shame that Marine Le Pen, the leader of the National Front party, which has made political gains stoking anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim fears, immediately sought political advantage with talk of “denial and hypocrisy” about “Islamic fundamentalism.”

It’s being widely ignored here but Muslim leaders in France have roundly condemned the murders.

Washington Post:

In the aftermath of its worst terrorist attack in decades, France will need to reexamine its policies for protecting journalists and other vulnerable targets on its territory; the measures taken to guard Mr. Charbonnier proved inadequate. The threat the country faces from Islamic extremists is likely to get worse: Hundreds of its citizens have traveled to Syria to fight for the Islamic State. President François Hollande, who said that other terrorist attacks inside France had recently been foiled, appropriately raised the country’s alert status to its highest level.

Equally important is that media across the West refuse to be cowed by violence. The attack in Paris comes after a year in which two U.S. journalists who traveled to Syria were beheaded by the Islamic State and theaters across the country refused to screen a movie lampooning North Korea because of the threat of violence. Such acts cannot be allowed to inspire more self-censorship — or restrict robust coverage and criticism of Islamic extremism.

Wall Street Journal:

Western leaders also need to be more forthright in defense of liberal values. They have a lot of ground to make up. Jacques Chirac, then the President of France, denounced Charlie Hebdo’s decision to reprint the Danish Muhammad cartoons in 2006. The Obama Administration made a similar mistake in September 2012 when it denounced the so-called Prophet Muhammad movie and blamed it for the attacks in Benghazi.

This is exactly the wrong signal, since it implicitly legitimizes illiberal offense-taking and sends mixed messages about the West’s commitment to its core values. Islamists gain confidence in their violent means when they see this lack of self-confidence in the West. It may be necessary to warn against “Islamophobia,” as German Chancellor Angela Merkel recently did. The West needs Muslim allies. But more Islamophobia is inevitable unless Muslim leaders police their own fanatics and Western leaders stop apologizing for Western principles like free speech.

There is more reaction to be found at memeorandum.

I cannot predict what the political consequences of the murders will be although I think it’s certain that it will have them. I’m afraid that little good will come of them. Juan Cole speculates:

Al-Qaeda wants to mentally colonize French Muslims, but faces a wall of disinterest. But if it can get non-Muslim French to be beastly to ethnic Muslims on the grounds that they are Muslims, it can start creating a common political identity around grievance against discrimination.
This tactic is similar to the one used by Stalinists in the early 20th century. Decades ago I read an account by the philosopher Karl Popper of how he flirted with Marxism for about 6 months in 1919 when he was auditing classes at the University of Vienna. He left the group in disgust when he discovered that they were attempting to use false flag operations to provoke militant confrontations. In one of them police killed 8 socialist youth at Hörlgasse on 15 June 1919. For the unscrupulous among Bolsheviks–who would later be Stalinists– the fact that most students and workers don’t want to overthrow the business class is inconvenient, and so it seemed desirable to some of them to “sharpen the contradictions” between labor and capital.
The operatives who carried out this attack exhibit signs of professional training. They spoke unaccented French, and so certainly know that they are playing into the hands of Marine LePen and the Islamophobic French Right wing. They may have been French, but they appear to have been battle hardened. This horrific murder was not a pious protest against the defamation of a religious icon. It was an attempt to provoke European society into pogroms against French Muslims, at which point al-Qaeda recruitment would suddenly exhibit some successes instead of faltering in the face of lively Beur youth culture (French Arabs playfully call themselves by this anagram). Ironically, there are reports that one of the two policemen they killed was a Muslim.

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Rove’s Predictions

I do not routinely follow Karl Rove but his predictions for 2015 are interesting. After recapping how his last year’s predictions fared, he offers his predictions for this year:

Now to 2015. Populist anger will grow more on the left than on the right. Hillary Clinton will run for the presidency; Sen. Elizabeth Warren , after flirting with the notion, will not. Neither will Vice President Joe Biden , but he will make more gaffes.

A surprising number of prospective Republican candidates will not run or get off the launchpad because of money-raising challenges. It will not take $88 million to win the nomination like it took Mitt Romney in 2012, but it will take close to that sum.

Aware that a 2015 Ames Straw Poll would undermine the credibility of the 2016 Iowa caucus, state GOP officials will reluctantly forgo the expensive (for candidates) ritual. By October, the GOP presidential front-runner will still poll around 25% nationally among Republicans.

Given a choice between conciliation and confrontation, Mr. Obama will liberally threaten to use his veto. Democrats will eventually rebel against defending his obstructionism. By year’s end, polls will show voters blame him for gridlock.

Republicans will send the president a stream of measures on jobs, energy, spending restraint, health care, border security and immigration that will pass Congress with healthy Democratic support, producing the first sustained period of bipartisan legislation during the Obama presidency.

Despite veto threats, GOP House and Senate members will take tough votes on issues like entitlement and tax reform, producing a governing conservative vision for 2016.

He also predicts on-time budget resolutions from House and Senate (I’ll believe it when I see it), a Supreme Court vacancy, further waxing by European populist parties, and further expansion of the Islamic State. There are others but not nearly as interesting.

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Retaking the Senate May Be Harder Than It Looks

As I predicted last year, Barbara Boxer will not seek a new term in 2016:

California Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer, a tenacious liberal whose election to the Senate in 1992 heralded a new era for women at the upper reaches of political power, announced Thursday she will not seek re-election to a new term next year.

A staunch supporter of abortion rights, gun control and environmental protections, Boxer has said she is most proud of the vote that she cast against the war in Iraq.

Boxer’s retirement sets off a free-for-all among California Democrats, who have been ascendant in the state for decades with few offices to aspire to while Boxer and Sen. Dianne Feinstein have held a lock on the state’s U.S. Senate seats.

I’ll repeat now what I said then: Democrats should not depend on the power of incumbency in “safe” states plus picking up a few seats in vulnerable states to regain the Senate. It’s going to be a hard slog from through November 2016.

For more commentary on Sen. Boxer’s decision see memeorandum.

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We’ll Grind This Economy Down…

…if it’s the last thing we do. Illinois Sen. Dick Durbin supports an increase in the gasoline tax:

Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) says he thinks “now is the time” to raise the gas tax, which hasn’t been touched by Congress in over 20 years.

“I think now is the time to do it, but we ought to do it in a thoughtful way,” Durbin said on Wednesday.

Short of a tax rebate system, any implementation of a gas tax is regressive and even with a tax rebate system it will have a tendency to be regressive.

The U. S. economy is closely tied to the price of oil. While I realize that governments are greedy for revenue, their best way of securing it is through a strong and vibrant private economy. At this moment in history raising the gas tax would be an error and it would be an error that would fall hardest on those least able to pay.

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