It’s roughly a month until the 2022 midterms which will decide the composition of the House and Senate for the remaining two years of President Biden’s first term. At present the prevailing wisdom is that Republicans will take the House but Democrats will retain the Senate.
We don’t actually know what the outcome will be and won’t until after election day. We may not know until a month after election day if there are run-offs. President Biden is in considerably better shape now than he was a couple of months ago. His approval rating remains weak but it’s a lot better than it was a couple of months ago. It’s not in the danger zone. If that holds until election day the Democrats may not fare as badly as they feared.
Here in Illinois Democrats are running on abortion and practically nothing else. The cynical might say that was because they have nothing else to run on. I think it’s more likely that polling tells them that running on abortion brings out the part of the base most likely not just to vote but to vote the way they want them to.
Democrats are running on little else but abortion. J6, and anti- Trump messaging. For Dems, glued to their party, emphasizing such underwhelming, less consequential issues seems to work. However, for others, rising inflation & crime, vulnerable borders exacerbating drug and human trafficking, biological tinkering with gender, dysfunctional schools shutting out parents are far more concerning – as they should be. Just looking at the strength of each party’s top-line issues one might even predict the R’s would have an edge in next month’s election. But, with so little done to correct the irregularities ignored or scoffed at in the last election, I think there’s a good chance the midterms will once again be governed by machines that should never have been certified, and less than honest poll-watcher practices giving way to “unexpected†dem victories.