Legs

Nate Silver is skeptical that the Trump-Russia story is a scandal with any legs and is looking for a gauge for that:

So if you want to track the progress of the Trump-Russia story, the most important benchmark is how Senate Republicans are behaving. Are Republicans, especially those who have a reputation for being loyal to the administration, taking concrete steps toward forming a select committee, for example? Or are they following Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s lead and blowing the Comey story off? I don’t mean these as rhetorical questions; we’re in the midst of tracking down Republican senators’ positions on Russia and how they’ve evolved over time. But these will be the most important indications of whether the story has legs.

I would say that a significant gauge is whether Trump’s approval falls through the roughly 40% floor he’s had since his election. The members of Congress are sheep. They’ll bolt if Trump’s approval rating goes below 30%.

3 comments… add one
  • TastyBits Link

    This just proves that Nate Silver is a Russian stooge.

  • Janis Gore Link

    He’s not going through any 40% floor on this issue. His base likes his “shake ’em up” tactics. And a growing number of people who were cool toward him like that, too, according to at least some reports I’ve read.

    And the more conventional Republicans will stick will him for conventional promises.

    This is a field day for journalists and little more.

  • Janis Gore Link

    Charlie Sykes, conservative commentator, wrote about the current anti-anti-Trump movement here:

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/12/opinion/sunday/if-liberals-hate-him-then-trump-must-be-doing-something-right.html?_r=1

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