As promised we watched the debate last night. My wife summed it up pretty well: “We need to open a new can of candidates”. Trump was Trump—malignant narcissist and braggart. The most, the greatest, the best, etc., slathered in the spray tan or whatever it is that makes his skin that color. Biden was feeble, halting, lost the thread of what he was saying, contradicted himself, and committed gaffe after gaffe. It was not a pretty sight.
New York Times: “God help us”. Here’s their visual summary of their opinion writers’ take:
Washington Post: “Ninety minutes of pain: In debate Biden mumbled while Trump ranted”.
Wall Street Journal: “Democrats Can’t Avoid the Biden Problem”.
Well, that was painful—for the United States. President Biden’s halting, stumbling debate performance Thursday night showed all too clearly that he isn’t up to serving four more years in office. For the good of the country, more even than their party, Democrats have some hard thinking to do about whether they need to replace him at the top of their ticket.
This isn’t a partisan thought; it’s a patriotic one. Democrats across the country were privately saying the same thing last night, and some of them on TV not so privately. Mr. Biden lost the debate in the first 10 minutes as he failed to speak clearly, did so in a weak voice, and sometimes couldn’t complete a coherent sentence. His blank stare when Donald Trump was speaking suggested a man who is struggling to recall what he has been prepped for weeks to say, but who no longer has the memory to do it.
This isn’t to say he didn’t score points against Mr. Trump now and again. He can still recall a line or a policy once in a while. But without a script provided by his aides, and without his usual teleprompter, the President looked and sounded lost. Voters already sensed this, which is why two-thirds have been saying for more than a year that they’d rather he not run again.
The President’s faltering effort allowed Mr. Trump to win the debate despite a mediocre performance in his own right. The former President was strong on inflation and the economy, where he knows he has an advantage. He rightly nailed Mr. Biden’s policies as the main inflation culprit.
Peggy Noonan at the Wall Street Journal:
It was in fact as consequential as any presidential debate in history, and the worst night for an incumbent in history. It was a total and unmitigated disaster for Mr. Biden. It was a rout for Mr. Trump. It wasn’t the kind of rout that says: If the election were held tomorrow Donald Trump would win. It was the kind of rout that says: If the election were held tomorrow Donald Trump would win in a landslide.
It is impossible to believe that the Democrats will continue with Mr. Biden as their presidential standard-bearer. They are going to have to do what they fear to do: make themselves uncomfortable, reveal their internal splits and brokenness, and admit what the rest of the country can see and has long seen, that Mr. Biden can’t do the job. They have to stop being the victim of his vanity and poor judgment, and of his family’s need, and get themselves a new nominee.
From the moment he shuffled out with a soft and faltering gait, you could see how much he has declined. He was pale and waxy, and there was something almost furtive in his gaze. His voice was hoarse and feathery, with no projection. His answers were scrambled, halting. At some points he made no sense. At some points he seemed out of it.
Mr. Trump came across as calm, sure-voiced, focused. His demeanor wasn’t insane. He was low-key but high-energy. He obeyed the rules, amazingly, to his benefit. He showed respect for the moderators. If not quite genial he was collected, and he offered a new tack on why he’s running: He didn’t want to, but Mr. Biden, unfortunately, is such a disaster that Mr. Trump has to come back and save the country. “His policies are so bad . . . he will drive us into World War III.” World leaders neither respect nor fear him.
In the split screen, when not talking, Mr. Biden’s face seemed to freeze, sometimes in unfortunate loose-jawed expressions.
Tom Friedman in the New York Times:
I watched the Biden-Trump debate alone in a Lisbon hotel room, and it made me weep. I cannot remember a more heartbreaking moment in American presidential campaign politics in my lifetime — precisely because of what it revealed: Joe Biden, a good man and a good president, has no business running for re-election. And Donald Trump, a malicious man and a petty president, has learned nothing and forgotten nothing. He is the same fire hose of lies he always was, obsessed with his grievances — nowhere close to what it will take for America to lead in the 21st century.
The Biden family and political team must gather quickly and have the hardest of conversations with the president, a conversation of love and clarity and resolve. To give America the greatest shot possible of deterring the Trump threat in November, the president has to come forward and declare that he will not be running for re-election and is releasing all of his delegates for the Democratic National Convention.
The Republican Party — if its leaders had an ounce of integrity — would demand the same, but it won’t, because they don’t. That makes it all the more important that Democrats put the country’s interests first and announce that a public process will begin for different Democratic candidates to compete for the nomination — town halls, debates, meetings with donors, you name it. Yes, it could be chaotic and messy when the Democratic convention starts on Aug. 19 in Chicago, but I think the Trump threat would be sufficiently grave that delegates could quickly rally around and nominate a consensus candidate.
I plan to update this with at least one more citation, from David Ignatius. I will also have another post giving my opinion.
Update
David Ignatius at the Washington Post: “President Biden should not run again in 2024”
What I admire most about President Biden is that in a polarized nation, he has governed from the center out, as he promised in his victory speech. With an unexpectedly steady hand, he passed some of the most important domestic legislation in recent decades. In foreign policy, he managed the delicate balance of helping Ukraine fight Russia without getting America itself into a war. In sum, he has been a successful and effective president.
But I don’t think Biden and Vice President Harris should run for reelection. It’s painful to say that, given my admiration for much of what they have accomplished. But if he and Harris campaign together in 2024, I think Biden risks undoing his greatest achievement — which was stopping Trump.
Biden wrote his political testament in his inaugural address: “When our days are through, our children and our children’s children will say of us: They gave their best, they did their duty, they healed a broken land.” Mr. President, maybe this is that moment when duty has been served.
The unexpected outcome of the debate is Biden accidentally made himself a lame duck (even if the polls are still fairly close; foreign and domestic entities will take note of the calls from Democrats for Biden to withdraw).
I would be cautious about changing horses so late. It’s a high variance move; it’s the biggest move left within Democrat control, but the modal outcome is it will make things worse for Democrats. Whoever it is that becomes the new top of ticket will get all the blame for everything that’s gone wrong during Biden’s term without any of the advantages of incumbency, patronage, and time to deliver results. There’s also the problem Biden stepping down stirs up fractional infighting to be the new nominee; and that the new nominee won’t have been vetted via the rig-ours of a primary campaign. Harris sidesteps some of those issues but she seems to fare poorly vis a vis Trump as well.
Just look at the UK Conservatives who replaced Johnson in a panic when polls went south but not a chasm. Johnson’s replacement Truss literally crashed the party in a month; cementing voter opinion to annihilate the party next Thursday. Canada also has examples, Brian Mulroney and Pierre Trudeau also quit late, their replacements were seen as hapless failures by irate electorates and their parties got punished in the subsequent election.
“”Trump Threat”?
To Friedman? Or the Democrat party?
To whom?
We here in America have reached our own “Bukale moment” . Trump is hope, not threat except to entrenched power.
So, two minutes before the debate started they all thought President Biden was just fine. The problem is that everybody else got to see the idiot behind the curtain.
“The problem is that everybody else got to see the idiot behind the curtain.”
They have known for quite some time. I would argue since the 2020 campaign. Certainly the last two years. Horrible people, the entrenched, the media and that shrew Jill.
@Drew
Next, you are going to tell me that they knew the Hunter laptop was genuine and the Trump-Russia collusion was a hoax.
Please do not destroy the dream of an AI data center being powered by windmills only.
You are a cruel, cruel man.
PS That’s Dr. Jill to you, mister.
Guilty as charged, Tasty. Drew’s my name. Cruel my game.
On a serious note. This isn’t just political philosophy. And this isn’t just Biden is a crook on the take. This is the most important executive in the world. Yet he is profoundly impaired. ( Even our host pronounced him capable enough a couple months ago. ) No. Incompetent. And so many knew and know. God help us should we face a serious international crisis. Can anyone on this blog tell me who would really be calling the shots?
It would be pitched as Biden. No chance. He’d be playing with his Malt-O-Meal. Who is it really? And anyone who disagrees, you want that never sharp, and now profoundly diminished, brain making decisions for you and your loved ones?
Curious,
I think the scales tipped to replacing Biden as the better move, but you do make a good argument against that.
So that reminds me that sometimes there is no solution, and the choice is which way to lose. Or, to put it more crudely as me and my military friends would, it’s like trying to decide which hammer I want to slam my balls with.