This post will mostly serve as a resource for my finding the site COVID-19 Projections later. The site uses available data and machine learning techniques to make predictions of cases and deaths by state and by country.
It’s certainly interesting and I plan to follow it, at least until I can assess how much credence should be placed in their projections.
I’ve seen this site before, but don’t recall any particular views on it.
It does have one of the things that I’ve been looking for, an estimate of current percentage infected in the state (though I’d prefer county). In Illinois, currently 0.51% are infected. While on the one hand, there are more people testing positive in my area than at any time since a nursing home breakout, this suggests that only one out of every two hundred people I encounter will be infected. I simply don’t meet that many people under normal circumstances that this would matter; it’s my kids I have to worry about.