Yesterday I remarked on Joe Biden’s approval rating. Today at Gallup Megan Brenan reports that President Biden ended 2023 with a lower approval rating than when he began it:
WASHINGTON, D.C. — President Joe Biden’s job approval rating is 39%, marking a slight improvement from the 37% low points in October and November but the fifth time his rating is below 40% in 2023.
During the latest poll’s Dec. 1-20 field period, the war between Israel and Hamas continued after a late November pause in fighting, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited Biden at the White House to ask for the United States’ help in his country’s war with Russia, and House Republicans unanimously voted to open an impeachment inquiry into Biden.
While rank-and-file Republicans’ ratings of Biden have been firmly entrenched in the single digits since August 2021, independents’ ratings have been more variable. After hitting a record-low 27% in November, approval of Biden is up seven percentage points this month. Approval of Biden among Democrats is currently 78%, down slightly from last month’s 83%.
That’s no actually the punchline which is that President Biden’s approval rating at this point in his presidency is lower than that of any president in post-war period including Jimmy Carter who failed to be re-elected.
As I observed in comments to be re-elected his approval rating’s trend must change and it must change soon.
There are all sorts of retorts to that. His approval rating doesn’t matter; his approval rating relative to Donald Trump’s does (Trump’s approval rating is presently higher than Biden’s). It’s still early. A lot could happen between now and November 2024 (will what happens improve his approval rating or hurt it?). The only poll that matters is the one in November 2024.
My only points are that I’m sure that President Biden’s re-election campaign is looking at the same polls, should be expected to act accordingly, do it soon, and their actions may have unanticipated results.
“His approval rating doesn’t matter”.
It doesn’t matter if Biden is the only candidate one can vote for on the ballot.
“President Biden’s re-election campaign is looking at the same polls, should be expected to act accordingly”
Why do you think there’s been frenzy in the last 3 months to invoke Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
His approval rating doesn’t matter alone, especially at this stage, IMO.
This is looking to be a contest between two weak, unpopular, old, incumbent men. What happens when most Americans don’t like their choices to an extreme degree? Too early to tell.
“Why do you think there’s been frenzy in the last 3 months to invoke Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?”
No one believes SCOTUS wont side with Trump. I think this is mostly to gain credibility/popularity amongst the voters in those individual states.
I think Trump is favored right now, however, things seem to shift pretty quickly and voters dont remember for very long so favorability right now is too early to tell much. (Bush 1 had very high ratings after Desert Storm but that faded fast as an example.)
Steve
No enthusiasm for Biden is evident.
Trump’s support is hard to measure because it consists of resentment of government by a slim majority who believe themselves to be outsiders.
People who may not reveal themselves as Trump voters to avoid confrontation from angry Leftists but who will vote.
As was the case last election, the result is in Trumps hands, if the reasonable, level headed and sane Trump shows up, he wins.
If he becomes angry and incoherent, incomprehensible, he loses.
If the latter iteration shows up AFTER the election, well then….,,,