An Addendum to the Chicago Mayoral Primaries 2019

Here’s a little more information about the Chicago mayoral primaries that I found interesting. It’s based on the district canvass (PDF) of the results.

First, no candidate received an outright majority in any ward. I find that very interesting on its own.

Second, of the fourteen candidates for mayor only seven won pluralities in any ward. Here are those results:

Candidate Number of wards with plurality Wards
Willie Wilson 13 6, 7, 9, 16, 17, 18, 20, 21, 24, 28, 29, 34, 37
Lori Lightfoot 11 1, 25, 32, 33, 35, 40, 44, 46, 47, 48, 49
Bill Daley 8 2, 11, 38, 39, 45, 42, 43, 40
Susana Mendoza 7 11, 14, 15, 22, 30, 31, 36
Toni Preckwinkle 6 3, 4, 5, 8, 26, 27
Jerry Joyce 4 13, 19, 23, 41
Gery Chico 1 10

Ald. Bob Fioretti didn’t even get a plurality in his home ward.

I’ve reproduced the map I posted earlier at the top of this post.

Some random observations. These results show a city sharply divided by race and what for better word I’ll call “level of dissatisfaction”. That should hardly be a surprise to anyone. Notice that the “establishment candidates” (Daley, Mendoza, Preckwinkle, Chico), all of whom were running with varying levels of credibility against the establishment, had less than citywide appeal. Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle’s support was highly concentrated on the South Side. This was a terrible result for Gery Chico. IMO it’s the end of his mayoral aspirations.

How does this bode for the general election? I find it hard to believe that anyone who voted for Willie Wilson, Bill Daley, or Jerry Joyce will turn to Preckwinkle in the general election. Will that mean a victory for Lori Lightfoot? Who knows?

2 comments… add one
  • PD Shaw Link

    Curious, were the number of candidates higher than ever? With so many candidates, it does seem like it would randomize the outcomes in unexpected ways.

    Happy Casimir Pulaski Day!

  • I don’t believe that Chicago has ever had that high a number of mayoral candidates before.

    Thank you. Here many call it “Paczki Day” (pronounced “punch-key”). I’ll need to run out and get some.

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