2005 Predictions (UPDATED)

I’ve been collecting predictions for the new year in anticipation of coming up with a few of my own. I’ll be updating this as I come up with more. Check out these:

National Review Online
Noah Millman of Gideon’s Blog
Iowahawk
John Battelle’s Searchblog
Zenpundit
Bogus Gold
Rooftop blog
American Warmonger
Media Guerilla
Josh Chafetz of Oxblog
By Thom
New York Stringer
The Queen of All Evil

Alex Barnett has his own run-down of 2005 predictions. There’s also a run-down of predictions (particularly with a business or economic focus) at this week’s Carnival of the Capitalists.

As The Sage said, it’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future. Here are my meager offerings:

  • There will be two U. S. Supreme Court vacancies to fill before year’s end either through death or retirement. My first guess would be Chief Justice Rehnquist. I guess I’ll tap Justice O’Connor as my second guess since she may be waiting to see if she’s appointed Chief Justice. She won’t be.
  • The Iraq elections will come off at the end of this month and there will be a good turnout including among the Sunnis. The elections won’t do much to quell the violence there but the new government may have a freer hand in doing so.
  • No appreciable Social Security reform (although there may be some legislature passed and packaged as such).
  • Dow stays below 11,000.
  • Howard Dean will not be named chairman of the Democratic party.
  • Flu pandemic.
  • Major development in solar power generation. My guess: much cheaper solar panels.
  • No major improvements in either spam control or net security.
  • Iran tests nuclear weapon.
  • No UN official or employee does a day of jail time for corruption related to Oil-for-Food scandal.
  • Kofi Annan continues to serve out his second term as UN Secretary General (and in all probabilty will complete his in 2006).
  • Ben Affleck will not marry in 2005.
  • Britney Spears’s marriage will not survive 2005.
  • The Passion of the Christ will be nominated for one or more Academy Awards but won’t win any.
  • “Hot pursuit” military action into Syria before year’s end.
  • Osama bin Laden will not be captured. At least 3 more audio tapes will
    appear apparently from OBL. No video.
  • Former president Ford dies.
  • Former president Carter doesn’t.
  • All of the following will either have announced their campaign for the Presidency, formed exploratory committees, or will obviously be campaigning for the job: Joe Biden, Howard Dean, Hillary Clinton, Rudy Giuliani, Bill Frist, John McCain.
  • My surest prediction: no major Chicago professional sports team will win a championship in 2005.
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