PurpleStater from Centerfeud, a blogger whose work I very much admire, in his update to a post citing my post on nuclear deterrence here has some good resources on discussions of the status of Iran’s program and the options being discussed. The resources include a post from Bill of INDC Journal and a couple of posts from the excellent American Future here and here.
To come fully up to speed you might want to take a look at this
The conclusion of the wargaming exercise is that there is no practical military option in Iran. Despite this I’ve heard there’s a dissident minority opinion in the Pentagon. This minority opinion is pushing for a massive short-term air campaign targeting some 400 sites over a 4 day period.
I’ve also heard a rumor that the Israeli destruction of the Osirak nuclear reactor back in 1981 was not accomplished by an aerial bombardment but by infiltration on the ground and that the bombardment was a diversion. Just a thought.
Where are you hearing these rumors?
The first rumor was from an interview on our local NPR station that I heard a week or so ago. The second rumor was from a milblog that I read occasionally. If I could give specific citations I would. That’s why I just characterized them as vague rumors.
I repeated the first rumor because of its obvious significance. I repeated the second because it has some eerie resonance with things that Trent Telenko has written over the last year of so.