I have a two part question for you.
Will Iran retaliate against Israel for the Israeli attacks in Syria which killed a number of Iranian soldiers?
If so, how will they retaliate?
I know what I’d do if I were the Iranian regime and it’s not missile strikes against Israeli military targets in Israel.
“Israel would be better off confronting Iran sooner rather than later if necessary, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Sunday, adding that Israel, however, does not seek escalation.”
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/netanyahu-we-will-stand-firm-against-iran-sooner-rather-than-later-1.6055907
It’s egg shell time for the Mullahs.
The Doomsday Machine for Iran is closing the Straits of Hormuz. A single missile into a single oiler would do it, because the insurance companies would cancel the insurance on any ship operating in the region.
Of course, this would cut off 20% of the world’s oil supply, and WW III would ensue. It would require the actual conquest of all of Iran, and the imposition of an occupation government, but the West would have no choice. Maybe a full year with oil at $200 to $500 per bbl. And several trillion dollars of war costs and many 100,000 dead.
The kicker is what Russia and China would do. Russia might stand idly by, or it might support Iran. China might support the West or Russia and Iran if they could guarantee its oil supplies. Who knows? Are the Ayatollahs poker players?