The other day I was looking at the 2008 election returns for Illinois. It occurred to me that 450,000 fewer Obama voters in Cook County, 450,000 fewer Obama voters downstate, and 450,000 more Romney voters statewide than there were McCain voters in 2008 is the difference between Illinois being carried by Obama and being carried by Romney. Considering that
2012 2008 had recordbreaking turnout, that’s absolutely possible.
The “ground game” is important. It’s important in Illinois.
I have yet to see a single sign for either Obama or Romney in my neighborhood, even in the windows and on the lawns of people I know to be very politically involved. I’ve seen a handful of signs in Cook County. For Obama, natch. But nothing like what I was seeing in 2008.
I don’t think that betting on a low turnout among Romney voters is a winning strategy for the Obama campaign.
Also: frequent commenter Icepick reports on the signs of the times in his neck of the woods in Florida.