The Goldilocks Game

It’s fun and anyone can play! All you need to do is complain that such a such a policy wasn’t effective because it was too heavy. Or too light. Not enough money was spent. Too much force was used. Not enough. It’s an all-purpose response and can be used on foreign policy (the war in Afghanistan) or domestic policy (fiscal stimulus).

For some reason practitioners of the Goldilocks Game never seem to realize that in making such claims they have undertaken an intellectual obligation to present empirical evidence that their preferred strategy will work. I.e. that there is some level of application at which your preferred strategy is effective. In the absence of that it’s just another vapid, unprovable claim.

7 comments… add one
  • Ben Wolf Link

    We haven’t moved far enough along the Laffer curve to “pay” for tax cuts.

    It didn’t work because Republicans.

    Torture would have worked if we’d had more victims.

  • Good examples.

    It’s really remarkable how common the Game is once you’ve noticed it.

  • Ben Wolf Link

    Now that I think about it in the terms you present, it’s as though everyone is stuck in their own feedback loop where success or failure both confirm the original hypothesis. Is it particularly bad nowadays or has it always been that way? Sometimes I wish I were older and had a longer memory.

  • Andy Link

    To quote Brink Lindsey, “….people start with political identities and then move to opinions about how the world works, not vice versa.”

  • Is it particularly bad nowadays or has it always been that way?

    I can only tell you my opinion. I think there have been actual cognitive changes in a large portion of the population. I think we’re becoming post-literate and the cognitive behaviors associated with literacy are giving way to other, different behaviors and the things you mention are part of that complex of behaviors.

    I’ve written about this from time to time under the heading “Visualcy”.

  • Andy Link

    Dave,

    Not sure if I’ve linked to this before, but here are two interesting posts on another forum (where I’m a regular) which relate to post-literacy you might be interested in:

    http://milpubblog.blogspot.pt/2012/08/defining-literacy.html

    http://milpubblog.blogspot.com/2012/08/my-conclusions-on-defining-literacy.html

  • Thank you. Those are directly on point.

Leave a Comment