I found this passage, quoted in an essay by Mike Gonzalez at Law and Liberty telling:
Even John Judis, one of the co-writers of the Emerging Democratic Majority, is starting to have second thoughts. “‘People of color’ is a term that’s been adopted by the cultural left as a way of arguing that if these groups proportionately voted Democratic in the past, they will do so in the future,” Mr. Judis told the New York Times recently. “I don’t see how you can make the argument.”
I have long felt that the interest group politics adopted by far too many Democrats has made a fundamental category error: focusing too narrowly on skin color rather than on life experience. The reality is that the life experience of a recent Nigerian immigrant today is enormously different from that of an African-American, the descendant of slaves, 60 years ago. Blacks do not comprise a majority in the U. S. and are unlikely ever to be so and that brings challenges.
What I think is likely to continue to happen is that the mulatto and mestizo populations of the U. S. will continue to grow, that most of them will consider themselves white and will be considered as such by all but the most hidebound racists who adhere to the old “one-drop rule”, which has its advocates both on the left and the right.
I also think that much of the racial agitation we have seen over the last months has been at least in part fomented by the recognition that claiming privileges and power based on skin color will be decreasingly relevant in the coming years rather than more so. I think that the lock that Democrats have had on urban centers, largely produced by their reliable black supporters, will erode as blacks leave these urban centers.