Financial Times commentator John Authers in a video commentary takes a look at the the futures markets and notes that the markets are predicting an outcome in November similar to the presidential election in 2000 with Sen. Barack Obama narrowly winning the popular vote and Sen. John McCain narrowly winning the electoral college and, consequently, being elected president. See also James Joyner’s post on the electoral college from yesterday.
I continue to think that all of the fundamentals in this election favor Obama but I’m not willing to call it one way or the other at this point.
There is one thing that is increasingly clear: this election will be very, very close. No 50 state blow-out. No overwhelming majority.
As I’ve been saying all along.