- the major accomplishment of the new Democratically-controlled Congress will be an increase in the minimum wage
- there will be no major Social Security, Medicare, or immigration reform
- the Congress won’t be able to resist conducting investigations of the last six years of the Bush Administration
- neither the U. S. nor Israel will bomb or invade Iran
- the UNSC sanctions on Iran will have little effect
- the number of U. S. forces in Iraq will not go below 100,000
- the surge in Iraq won’t accomplish much
- either Iran or North Korea (maybe both) will test a nuclear weapon (or fake such a test). Not much will be done about it.
- there will be a major terrorist attack in Europe. Mostly likely target: Britain
- China (whose diplomacy has been excellent for a long time) will stumble
- Windows Vista won’t live up to either sales or technical expectations. It will catch on anyway once SP1 has been released.
- There will be a technological breakthrough that will gain critical mass. Possibly electric cars. Possibly a battery technology.
- As people bear more costs for their own healthcare pressure will increase for reform. Not much will happen.
- Barack Obama’s repute will peak.
- George W. Bush’s repute hasn’t hit bottom yet.
I’ll post other people’s predictions as I run across them.
