A Plague On Both Green and Brown Houses

In his New York Times column Tom Friedman is sour on both environmental activists and oil companies. His complaint about environmental activists is that they’re underestimating the difficulty of changing from fossil fuels to solar and wind power and overestimating the significance of cost per kilowatt-hour. His complaint about the oil companies is their insistence on increasing the production of oil. Here’s his summation:

Well, they’re both wrong, and accepting the repetition of either of these tired shibboleths is hurting us economically, environmentally and geopolitically — especially, of late, geopolitically.

Because our continued addiction to fossil fuels is bolstering Vladimir Putin’s petrodictatorship and creating a situation where we in the West are — yes, say it with me now — funding both sides of the war. We fund our military aid to Ukraine with our tax dollars and some of America’s allies fund Putin’s military with purchases of his oil and gas exports.

And if that’s not the definition of insanity, then I don’t know what is.

Have no illusion — these sins of the green movement and the oil industry are not equal. The greens are trying to fix a real, planet-threatening problem, even if their ambition exceeds their grasp. The oil and coal companies know that what they are doing is incompatible with a stable, healthy environment. Yes, they are right that without them there would be no global economy today. But unless they use their immense engineering talents to become energy companies, not just fossil fuel companies, there will be no livable economy tomorrow.

Let’s look at both. For too long, too many in the green movement have treated the necessary and urgent shift we need to make from fossil fuels to renewable energy as though it were like flipping a switch — just get off oil, get off gasoline, get off coal and get off nuclear — and do it NOW, without having put in place the kind of transition mechanisms, clean energy sources and market incentives required to make such a massive shift in our energy system.

and here’s his primary criticism of the “green movement”:

If you can’t install the transmission lines — to get that sun and wind power from the vast open spaces where it is generated to the big urban areas where it is needed — and if you cannot set aside more land to install the scale of solar and wind farms you need to replace coal, gas or nuclear, it doesn’t matter that your renewables are cheaper on a per-kilowatt-hour basis.

And today transmission is a huge problem in the U.S. and Europe, where many people don’t want wind farms, solar fields, electricity lines — or natural gas pipelines — in their backyard.

He misses the importance of baseline power. And he makes an error common to notional environmentalists, confusing subsidies including export subsidies with lower prices.

If we genuinely wanted to reduce the use of fossil fuels in transportation we’d stop subsidizing new highway construction and do a lot more additive manufacturing rather than importing inexpensive manufactured goods from far away. There’s still no such thing as a green container ship.